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79o vs. Wide Turn Shove
First off, quick shout out to the encouraging MadMojoMonkey and OngBonga for their excellent analysis of my previous Hand Post. Honestly, no joke, the Session after I read their analysis was actually the best I’ve ever had in terms of decision making and profit. Anyways, here is the Hand in question from a following Session:
FullFlush - $0.02 NL (Full Ring) - Holdem - 10 players
UTG: $1.12
UTG+1: $0.73
UTG+2: $2.07
MP1: $0.56
MP2: $3.25
HIJACK: $2.53
CUTOFF: $2.92
BTN: $2.03
SB: $1.82
Hero (BB): $3.02
SB posts $0.01, BB posts $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 7c 9d
folds around to (UTG+1), UTG+1 calls $0.02, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0.02, MP2 folds, HIJACK folds, CUTOFF folds, BTN folds, SB calls $0.01, Hero checks
Flop: ($0.08, 4 players) 2s 5h 9c
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $0.08, SB folds, Hero calls $0.08, UTG+1 folds
Turn: ($0.24, 2 players) 4h
Hero checks, MP1 bets $0.46 and is all-in, Hero ?
Notes that I had on Villain prior to this hand: Villain was very Loose Passive Pre-Flop (Limping ATC and never folding the hand to a subsequent Pre-Flop Open). On the Flop, Villain was Loose Aggressive, either leading or, when checked to, betting 2/3 – Pot with the entirety of his Range. On one occasion, earlier in the session, he had lost a big pot to me when I checked three streets to him on a K572J Board with QQ. He bet Pot on both Flop and Turn and checked the River showing down 89o.
With all of this in mind, my intention Post-Flop was to check call his bet on the Flop and possibly check call most Turns and Rivers. However, the Turn Shove gave me some pause for concern. Given Villains Range, and the majority of Draws that develop on the Turn, I believe a Turn call is still profitable. However, given Villains Bet-Sizing is my Range assignment too wide on the Turn? Should I consider Folding?
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