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Originally Posted by daven
stats are across several tables we're both at, this table has just started to break. I suspect there's a good chance he hasn't noticed table is breaking yet.
So BTN steal @ 60%, FT3 67%, 4-bet 11% is his range, then. (FWIW, I missed that we're in his BTN steal % for my post above.)
So 60% looks something like this @798 combos
{ 22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J2s+,T7s+,96s+,85s+,75s+,64s+,5 3s+, A2o+,K2o+,Q7o+,J7o+,T7o+,97o+,87o,76o,65o,54o }
Removing the FT3 range looks something like this @ 266 combos
{ 66+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KTo+, QTo+,JTo }
Removing the top 11% from the original 798 make it this @ 180 combos
{ 77-66,A9s-A2s,KJs-KTs,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AJo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo }
Assuming he has a polarized 4-bet range @ 180 combos
{ JJ-88,AJs-A6s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo }
It looks like you're close to 60/40 here.
A) What do you think of the ranges I posted? Where would you change them?
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It's tough w/o guessing what he's gonna do against different bet sizes, but that's where we are here.
B) What is the range of bet sizes that he thinks are "too small"? Where does that become "standard" to him? Where is it "too much"?
How will his card range to continue be affected by your various bet-size options?
Then we EV calc. a buncha buncha times and find the sweet spot.
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