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I wanted to shove. I was so close to doing so but I just thought his range smashed that board and when I did some Flopzilla work later on, I saw that the J on the turn drops me to nearly a 50/50 spot with him.
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $2.02 (VPIP: 18.45, PFR: 11.65, 3Bet Preflop: 5.71, Hands: 112)
Hero (CO): $2.30
BTN: $2.90 (VPIP: 68.18, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 22)
SB: $2.00 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 16.07, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 114)
BB: $4.96 (VPIP: 69.44, PFR: 38.89, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 72)
SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K K
fold, Hero raises to $0.06, fold, fold, BB calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.13, 2 players) 7 6 T
BB checks, Hero bets $0.13, BB calls $0.13
Turn: ($0.39, 2 players) J
BB checks, Hero bets $0.19, BB raises to $0.54, fold
BB wins $0.74
Rake paid $0.03
I just thought that there was going to be a far better spot to stack this fish than this one, especially considering his play up to that point. His turn c/r bet sizing concerned me also and I really feel like I was beat here. Anyway, just a few hands later this happened:
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $2.00 (VPIP: 18.69, PFR: 11.22, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 116)
Hero (SB): $2.00
BB: $2.15 (VPIP: 68.00, PFR: 28.00, 3Bet Preflop: 21.43, Hands: 25)
UTG: $2.00 (VPIP: 21.55, PFR: 15.52, 3Bet Preflop: 10.64, Hands: 118)
MP: $8.65 (VPIP: 71.05, PFR: 38.16, 3Bet Preflop: 23.53, Hands: 76)
CO: $2.00 (VPIP: 20.73, PFR: 18.29, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 86)
Hero posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K K
fold, MP calls $0.02, fold, BTN raises to $0.08, Hero raises to $0.36, BB raises to $2.15 and is all-in, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.64 and is all-in
Flop: ($4.10, 2 players) 2 T 9
Turn: ($4.10, 2 players) T
River: ($4.10, 2 players) 3
Hero shows K K (Two Pair, Kings and Tens)
(Pre 71%, Flop 87%, Turn 93%)
BB shows A 4 (One Pair, Tens)
(Pre 29%, Flop 13%, Turn 7%)
Hero wins $3.90
Rake paid $0.14
$0.06 was deducted from the pot for the jackpot.
And then just a little bit later:
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: $2.80 (VPIP: 39.47, PFR: 14.47, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 77)
Hero (BB): $2.05
UTG: $2.43 (VPIP: 18.29, PFR: 16.46, 3Bet Preflop: 8.45, Hands: 167)
CO: $5.64 (VPIP: 45.95, PFR: 31.08, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 77)
BTN: $4.54 (VPIP: 32.62, PFR: 24.82, 3Bet Preflop: 11.67, Hands: 147)
SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K K
fold, CO raises to $0.07, BTN raises to $0.19, fold, Hero raises to $2.05 and is all-in, CO raises to $5.64 and is all-in, fold
Flop: ($4.30, 2 players) 7 4 2
Turn: ($4.30, 2 players) 2
River: ($4.30, 2 players) 9
Hero shows K K (Two Pair, Kings and Twos)
(Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
CO shows T T (Two Pair, Tens and Twos)
(Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins $4.09
Rake paid $0.15
$0.06 was deducted from the pot for the jackpot.
Poker has a lot in common with baseball statistically and in the kind of occurrences you see due to the large sample sizes and variance involved. I hadn't gotten action on KK or AA in over a week and then boom - one after another.
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