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25nl 99 full house, great board, river sizing?
It's a new year resolution to reengage in the BC, I've been slack in recent months.
Still no HUD, relying entirely on notes. I'm playing out of my bankroll, taking a shot at 25nl and hoping to beat variance for the first few sessions. So far so good. I have a step down amount in mind and have plenty of experience of all levels up to 25nl, so I don't feel like I'm taking too many risks. I have funds on FTP to move over in the event I tilt my bankroll away, plus some IRL funds which can be loaded up if needs be. Needless to say I'm being much more aggressive with my bankroll in an attempt to get back to 25nl or even 50nl where I can hopefully earn an income rather than living off benefits. I'm sick of microdonking my way through my poker career to be honest, it's all or nothing time. Anyway...
PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com
Hero (Button) ($75.53)
SB ($30.38)
BB ($45.48)
UTG ($25.63)
MP ($25.10)
CO ($55.46)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, BB calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.60) 7, 8, 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.10) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50
River: ($9.10) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ?
No notes on this villain. My question is river sizing. I think villain has flush draws and pairs 7x 8x 9x and maybe some smaller pairs that he's floating. Obviously there's two combos of quads that beat me, but I'm not worried about those because there's two combos of A8s, and I doubt that's all the 8x he can have when he's bb facing button open. I'm not expecting TT+ very often at all, I'd expect to get 3b pre more often than not against a random, but he'll have them occasionally.
I'm unsure about making it a standard $5, betting big like $15, or just outright shoving. I'm not expecting his 8x to fold ever, his 7x will call $5 but will baulk at a $15+ bet, and his junk folds to any bet. I have no idea what to do here, all I know is I like this spot a great deal.
Thoughts about the hand welcome, and also my risky bankroll strategy. FYI My roll on stars would have been $240 before this session, with $70 on FTP and another $100 that can be loaded from IRL funds. My failsafe startegy is to step down to 10nl at $100, 5nl at $50, and 2nl at $20, stepping back when the tide turns. Crazy perhaps, but I'm bored shitless of being a broke microdonk.
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