10nl AQs IP facing fp flop bet

Villain is solid Tagg, (wouldnt mind picking his brain).

My image has been tight, we got into a SB vs. BU 4b pre scuffle. otherwise we haven't bumped heads.

Pre: I don''t wanna 3b , and narrow his range even more, and I shouldn't be folding, so Pre fine?

Flop: his fl sizing has me worried, and he's certainly priced out my gutter, i suppose if he's thinking about my flatting range(which I think he is). I should be folding right?



Revolution Gaming Network - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: $2.58 (VPIP: 55.26, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 80)
BTN: $10.14 (VPIP: 10.26, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
SB: $4.48 (VPIP: 8.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
BB: $9.31 (VPIP: 20.63, PFR: 13.13, 3Bet Preflop: 5.77, Hands: 161)
UTG: $13.94 (VPIP: 18.25, PFR: 15.44, 3Bet Preflop: 5.94, Hands: 294)
Hero (MP): $13.42

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Q A

UTG raises to $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.85, 2 players) T 8 9
UTG bets $0.80, ???

How positionally aware is he? Is he just PFRing 15% from all positions? It probably won't affect my preflop decision because I'm probably calling regardless a little deep, and we definitely should not 3b.

On the flop, villain's range for cbetting this flop is very strong, then add in the fact that he made it $0.80 into $0.85 and I'm getting the fuck out of this hand with our gutshot to a 4-straight (lol) + BDFD (lol when you have zero FE) + shitty overs (a Q lets us suck out on literally nothing in his range).

What's his range pre in EP?

I'd fold because he has 99+, AK all in his range and very little you beat.

I think i have his ep range at 14%. I'll check when i get home though.

Or you can just ask darth vader in a t-shirt. ....

Hmm... wonder who that could be?

Originally Posted by supa

Hmm... wonder who that could be?

IDk, i do recall villain mentioning vbetting after showdown. geez, i at least could have had 88,99......

fold flop nh

i really want to raise to like 1.95 here, you can gain so much valuable information for the future based on what he does, it's also super hard for a straightforward tagg to continue here without a monster

Originally Posted by bikes

i really want to raise to like 1.95 here, you can gain so much valuable information for the future based on what he does, it's also super hard for a straightforward tagg to continue here without a monster

You nailed that one bikes. What line does villain take here w/ his nut range after I raise? Maybe that's hard to answer and kind of villain specific, but it goes along with you saying we gain a lot of info. ..

if he 3bs you, well make notes he plays absurdly aggressively on super cordinated boards and from then on only strong hands, like at worst 98 here

if he calls then you can barrel any heart, any J, Q or 7.

if he calls and you check check the turn and check check the river you gain lots of valuable information on how he plays XX hand type on super coordinated mid boards.


either way super +EV spot for a small raise.

very informative, thanx....

Biggest problem is that a lot of people at this level won't let go of many hands on this kind of board. So if you want to raise you need a solid plan on how to continue like bikes describes.

Originally Posted by jackvance

Biggest problem is that a lot of people at this level won't let go of many hands on this kind of board. So if you want to raise you need a solid plan on how to continue like bikes describes.

yeah but I guess that's what we are exploiting right?

Originally Posted by WeldPhaser

yeah but I guess that's what we are exploiting right?

With this hand?..

Originally Posted by jackvance

With this hand?..

no . the situation in general

But why do you mention this? You don't have a made hand here.

If he made a standard cbet sizing, I would ponder raising here, but when he almost pots it from EP on this type of board that ppl are more likely to c/f, then meh. Just fold seems fine.