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[5NL] AA UTG missed value?

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  1. #1
    Mury's Avatar
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    Default [5NL] AA UTG missed value?

    CO: $9.30 (186 bb) {75/33, 3/4 fold to cb, 12 hands}
    BTN: $10.45 (209 bb)
    SB: $16.79 (335.8 bb)
    BB: $14.68 (293.6 bb)
    Hero (UTG): $12.50 (250 bb)
    MP: $15.76 (315.2 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
    Hero raises to $0.15, MP calls $0.15, CO calls $0.15, 3 folds

    Flop: ($0.58) Q J K (3 players)
    Hero bets $0.42, MP folds, CO calls $0.42

    Turn: ($1.42) J (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70

    River: ($2.82) 9 (2 players)
    Hero bets $1.35

    So basically my question here is am I missing value by betting so small OTT and OTR and maybe even OTF.

    To call river with my sizing I figure he's got something like:

    Board: KhQsJcJs9h
    Equity Win Tie
    Hero 58.45% 58.31% 0.14% { AhAs }
    CO 41.55% 41.41% 0.14% { 99+, ATs+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T9s, Ts8s, Ts7s, Ts6s, Ts5s, Ts4s, Ts3s, Ts2s, ATo+, K2o+, Q2o+, J3o+, T9o }

    I felt at the time of playing the hand that betting much bigger would fold out a lot of crap hands like all his Qx and weak kings, am I wrong?
  2. #2
    Razvan729's Avatar
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    You are just bluffing river. Nothing worse calls 3barrels on that board. Turn it's close since that kind of villain can still call Tx/KQ/
    All posts are just my own opinion about a hand or a general situation... not advices on how you should play...
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Razvan729 View Post
    You are just bluffing river. Nothing worse calls 3barrels on that board. Turn it's close since that kind of villain can still call Tx/KQ/
    This. I think the only worse hand that MAY call is AK. That's a pretty bad flop for AA and the run out just makes it worse. I'm tempted to bet, c/c, c/f.
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  4. #4
    I think we can expect KQ to call, but we're crushed by his Tx and Jx so yeah I'm not loving this runout either. I think I b/f turn but river I'm hating, I'm either c/f or c/c, with c/c being somewhat optimistic. Not as optimistic as betting though imo.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  5. #5
    For my opinion you have to raise a little more pre-flop. However, that flop is not very good for two aces. For me you played well, you didn't have some other option here than to bet a small and see how the villain will react to the end of the hand. Even the bluff on the river is good move for my opinion, because if the villain don't have T, he will go fold, and if he go re-raise then you will know that he has a straight.
    The moves that you made on this hand looks like you have straight (not AA), so like I said if the villain don't have T, he will probably go fold.
    I will tell you once again that you played well, because you didn't have some other options on flop like this, maybe only it will be better if you bet a little more pre-flop, but however that is not some wrong move.
  6. #6
    The turn is the end of the ride for me tbh. I'm checking the rest of the way down... if possible.
  7. #7
    Very scary board for aces. I'm looking to start keeping the pot small on the turn (if they bet the turn, I'd probably call a standard turn bet). By the river I think folding to a river bet is the best play. You definitely should not be trying to extract any value with the way the board ran out.

    It's aggravating when it happens and you're holding AA, but you gotta step off the gas a little bit when the board runs out like this.

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