[10NL] 98s, 2pr on turn, facing c/r...

[Cobra_1878]

Villain was 42/24/2 (3bet) through 117 hands. Didn't fold his BB too much, playing 40%. Fold to cbet, 53%.

Notes on Villain: Passive with draws and TPTK hands. Usually c/c. Capable of c/r flop and firing turn as bluff, seen him do this with 44 and ended up stacking off to a shortstack for around 60bb.

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: $12.35
MP: $12.53
Hero (CO): $10.54
BTN: $11.22
SB: $10.83
BB: $10.00

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 8 9

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 8 4 5
BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, BB calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.65, 2 players) 9
BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BB raises to $5.20, Hero ???

I think this is a call, but I'm not sure. The only hands I have to worry about are 55, 44 and 76. Not too worried about 88/99 even though they are obviously possible.

I had only seen villain 3bet AKo, so it's possible he could have slow played an overpair here, TT+. I figure he could also have a smaller 2pr, 54.

I also figure my heart outs are probably good here as well.

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Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,068 games 0.000 secs 413,600 games/sec

Board: 8d 4h 5h 9c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 75.097% 75.10% 00.00% 1553 0.00 { 9h8h }
Hand 1: 24.903% 24.90% 00.00% 515 0.00 { 88+, 55-44, 54s, 54o }

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Thoughts?

[rong]

Shove it. Think his range is much wider. Including say JhTh plus other hh hands plus 76, 86, 87, 89, 69, 79. Easy shove imo.

[Cobra_1878]

Shove it. Think his range is much wider. Including say JhTh plus other hh hands plus 76, 86, 87, 89, 69, 79. Easy shove imo.

Yeah I was purposely a little conservative with his range for the use of Pokerstove, I figured he had a wider range than that.

[rong]

I'm guessing you went to w show down somehow and he had 99?

[Finn]

Hy Cobra!

At first I have to say - thanks for all of your threads! I´m sure you´ve done them for not for me^^ but I´ve lerned a lot out of them.
So my two cents to your hand...

I think your equity in general is good, but I don´t like the huge raise. You said in general he plays draws passivly so I would give him just a few for his range.
Here is what I would stove (ca).:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

748 games 0.031 secs 24,129 games/sec

Board: 8c 4h 5h 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.759% 59.76% 00.00% 447 0.00 { 9h8h }
Hand 1: 40.241% 40.24% 00.00% 301 0.00 { 99-88, 55-44, JTs, 85s, 54s }

So, I would shove it but don´t like it too much. (maybe that´s just because of my last experiences against fish...)

[griffey24]

Given your reads that he's spazz c/r before and continued his bluff, he probably thinks this is a good bluff spot since 67 clearly gets there. Given there will only be $4 left if you call and the pot will be like $12 i'll just jam.

If stacks were deeper I would call/call given we also have FD.

[daven]

put all your chips in

[OngBonga]

fistpump

[Cobra_1878]

Wow, I thought this hand was close, obviously not. Appreciate the feedback as always everyone.

[jackvance]

Easy call this, I guess you lost to a set or something or this thread wouldn't be here?

[Cobra_1878]

Easy call this, I guess you lost to a set or something or this thread wouldn't be here?

I think most people assume things like that. You would be wrong though.

[rong]

Good for you for reviewing winning hands as well.