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AQo facing turn C/R AI
UTG: $0.81 (40.5 bb)
MP: $2.04 (102 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.83 (291.5 bb)
BTN: $2.08 (104 bb)
SB: $0.64 (32 bb)
BB: $1.02 (51 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with Q A
UTG raises to $0.05, MP calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.22, 4 folds, MP calls $0.17
Flop: ($0.52) A 8 2 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.39, MP calls $0.39
Turn: ($1.30) 5 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.65, MP raises to $1.43 and is all-in, Hero ??
UTG is 30/25 over 22 hands
MP is 58/25 over 12 hands
I 3bet pre for value because I have position and the 2.5x seems fairly weak. Looking to iso the MP. Is this too loose?
I only need like 18% equity to call here. This might be a dumb question but can I ever be ahead? In my experience these types only really call down their draws, making me narrow his range to two pairs, sets, maybe maybe AQ+ which leaves me with about 15%.
Thoughts?
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