Fold and move on?

[daluchy]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) converter

Hero (t1355)
Button (t1975)
SB (t1525)
BB (t1460)
UTG (t1300)
UTG+1 (t1825)
MP1 (t1430)
MP2 (t1235)
MP3 (t1395)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 5.
UTG calls t50, UTG+1 calls t50, 1 fold, MP2 calls t50, 1 fold, Hero calls t50, Button calls t50, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: (t325) 6, 5, 4 (6 players)
BB bets t200, UTG raises to t450, UTG+1 calls t450, MP2 calls t450,

Hero ?????

[gabe]

if you push and expect two callers, it is profitable. but i probably just fold.

[PokerPatNEU]

This board is just so well coordinated and there's such a good chance 3 out of those 4 opps are going to call your push. If you are a 40% favorite against 3 opps i'd consider that an opptomistic estimate.

If someone has an over pair, if someone has a flush draw, and someone else has an OESD, your set is the best hand but not better than the other 3 combined... I would just fold it, someone is going broke this hand, you dont want it to be you.

[vqc]

I fold this. The action before you is ridiculsouly ugly and you are probably defeatedzor.

[daluchy]

Well just to discuss something, here's the showdown.

BB has 2d 3s (straight, six high).
UTG has Td Kd (high card, king).
Hero has 5d 5h (three of a kind, fives).

I was hoping to be vs. a bunch of draws so I didn't mind pushing. Atleast I would be drawing to the nut full house too.

vs. OESD & Flush Draws

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1206505
pokenum  -h 5d 5h  - 7s ad  - kd td  -- 6d 5s 4d 
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing 5s 6d 4d
cards  win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
5d 5h  555  61.46   336  37.21   12  1.33  0.619
7s Ad  153  16.94   738  81.73   12  1.33  0.174
Kd Td  183  20.27   708  78.41   12  1.33  0.207

I didn't have those percentages running through my head, but I figured I'm ahead by a bunch, even combined. Like Gabe said, 2 callers is probably profitable if they are just drawing.

But w/the straight...

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1206467
pokenum  -h 5d 5h  - 3d 2s  - td kd  -- 6d 5s 4d 
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing 5s 6d 4d
cards  win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
5d 5h  322  35.66   557  61.68   24  2.66  0.365
2s 3d  354  39.20   525  58.14   24  2.66  0.401
Kd Td  203  22.48   676  74.86   24  2.66  0.234