Facing Ridic Overbet.

[Carroters]

Villain is a reg, haven't played a great deal with him. He's not c/r'd a flop yet in this sample. So this is really gross because he seems to reps like one combo for value (quads) However, I guess he could have some random Tx in his range although raising top pairs and betting turns for value isn't something 100NL regs do enough. Actually his turn sizing looks a lot like AT/KT if he can have them here.

So on the one hand his value range is incredibly small and uncredible. On the other hand this is the most absurdly bad bluff spot ever surely? I have Tx so much and he must know he reps almost nothing. So yeah I guess why would we ever call AA here when we have so much Tx in our range. I want to just put him on exactly quads and some Tx fold.




PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 46.55 BB (VPIP: 43.90, PFR: 7.32, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 42)
Hero (MP): 122.32 BB
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.44, PFR: 18.23, 3Bet Preflop: 8.64, Hands: 194)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.64, PFR: 23.93, 3Bet Preflop: 10.26, Hands: 126)
SB: 134.24 BB (VPIP: 24.14, PFR: 18.97, 3Bet Preflop: 11.36, Hands: 118)
BB: 78.82 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 15)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A A

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) T 5 3
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, SB raises to 12.07 BB, Hero calls 8.07 BB

Turn: (31.14 BB, 2 players) 3
SB bets 16.35 BB, Hero calls 16.35 BB

River: (63.84 BB, 2 players) T
SB bets 102.82 BB and is all-in, Hero?

[Micro2Macro]

game theory comes in handy here

[pocketfours]

Do you autobet any Tx on this flop?

[Carroters]

Do you autobet any Tx on this flop?

It's certainly my default to so I can be c-betting a lot of air. I have no reads here to make me deviate so I think there's a shiotload of Tx in my range in this spot. He must also know I have the eff nuts here pretty damn often so I think AA is a really easy fold without a read he's insane. We can't need to be calling this too frequently and so calling with Tx+ must be optimal right?

[pocketfours]

I'd call this with 3x and fold the rest.

[chemist]

Just calling flop and turn looks weak.
Villian could shove with any Ten, Three, Five, (which would of course be good)
or Ace, King, busted wheels or flush draws perhaps 4c6c,
even though it is out of character just because of a change of gear, taking advantage of image, continuing the flop and turn leads and exploiting the weakness of the heros flop and turn calls.
But is it worth calling 100 for the 30 investment with what is now such a weak river holding?

The trouble with river overbets is that they are either strong or air.
From an aggressive player it could be a fiftyfifty decision,
from a tight player it is probably best to just let them have it.

[daven]

i just don't see him doing this with 99 for value, and he isn't bluffing here much at all