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200nl Thin River Spot?

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  1. #1

    Default 200nl Thin River Spot?

    villain is running std tag 16/13. Turn is definitely a value bet, everyone floats gutter's these days so I expect him to call any pair. All the gutters brick again OTR, do I check here or go for value against JJ, 99, JTs, ATs and QTs?

    Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players -

    BTN: $200.00
    SB: $201.00
    BB: $207.30
    UTG: $410.00
    UTG+1: $200.00
    MP1: $80.00
    Hero (MP2): $200.00
    CO: $468.10

    Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is MP2 with Q Q
    1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $5, 1 fold, Hero calls $5, 2 folds, SB calls $4, 1 fold

    Flop: ($17.00) T 2 K (3 players)
    SB checks, UTG+1 bets $12, Hero calls $12, SB folds

    Turn: ($41.00) 4 (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $26, UTG+1 calls $26

    River: ($93.00) 8 (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero?
  2. #2
    rpm's Avatar
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    betting the river seems too thin for me without reads that he calls three streets with middle pair. though i've never played 200nl and know nothing about the regs/dynamics there.
  3. #3
    He'd have to be out of his mind to call with worse.
  4. #4
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    I'd say your equity is < 50% here.


  5. #5
    bikes's Avatar
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    ez check imo thus i checked, FR nits seem to like checking TP twice here. dunno why

    ?wut
  6. #6
    I`m not sure if we should be betting the turn here with this hand.
    Do you expect people will frequently ch-call Tx or JJ on the turn in these positions, and always 2barrel Kx+ on the turn?
  7. #7
    16 on turn
  8. #8
    If you don't like your line. You can check back the turn and bet the river.
  9. #9
    Renton's Avatar
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    I think I probably check the turn vs utg1 range, but betting seems ok. Certainly check the river.

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