Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,291,000 Posts!
Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

500NL too thin?

Results 1 to 12 of 12
  1. #1

    Default 500NL too thin?

    He's a reg who runs 24/6/3. Only folds to flop cbets 40% of the time though. Such a weird style of play.

    $2.5/$5 No Limit Holdem
    3 players
    Converted at weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    BTN ($983.95)
    SB ($482.40)
    Hero ($485.00)

    Pre-flop: ($7.5, 3 players) Hero is BB
    1 fold, SB calls $2.5, Hero raises to $20, SB calls $15

    Flop: ($45, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $26, SB calls $26

    Turn: ($97, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $65, SB calls $65

    River: ($227, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $180, SB raises to $371.4, Hero folds

    Final Pot: $969.8

    SB wins $580 ( won +$97.6 )
    Hero lost -$291.00
  2. #2
    standard
    The secret to success in poker is to rig the odds in your favor.
  3. #3
    It sucks to put more than half your stack in and then fold, but what else can you do?
  4. #4
    Fnord's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Posts
    19,388
    Location
    Silicon Valley

    Default Re: 500NL too thin?

    Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyes
    Such a weird style of play.
    As a rule, avoid big money bet/fold lines against erratic players.
  5. #5
    I like a check on the river here, or maybe a smaller value bet. I don't see him calling that river bet with much worse than you have and I don't see him folding AJ or better, so the bet seems undesirable to me.
  6. #6
    bode's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Posts
    8,043
    Location
    slow motion
    since the board is about as dry as it gets, cant we check back the river? i dont see what villains calling with that we beat.
    eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
  7. #7
    Do you have any fold to river bet stats?

    Have you seen him c/r much before?

    If he's not calling many rivers, and has a tendancy to c/r then a check through is ok here. If he calls a lot of barrels I think a weaker bet here can get looked up lighter.
  8. #8
    I'm not so sure I like the small river bet line because I think if he checkraises a small bet then I'm in a tougher spot than I am now. Although in saying that, whatever about check raising monsters or air I doubt this guy has the cop on to turn something like JT into a bluff on the river which adds favour to a small river b/f.

    The reason I bet pretty big is because I was trying to make my hand look like triple barrelled overcards and I was hoping he'd make a hero call. I don't know If I could ever be sure whether this has a higher expectation than a smaller bet which is obviously for value but which also offers him attractive pot odds.

    I didn't have a fold to river stat at the time and I couldn't think of a time when he had checkraised in the past. I just checked my database though and found a hand where he checkraised the river with a back door flush.

    Looking at his stats now though he folds to flop bet 39% of the time and folds to turn bets 54% of the time and river bets 20% of the time. So basically my strat for this guy is to double barrel the shit out of him and give up on the river a ton until he adjusts. I'm also not going to go for such thin river value because it looks like he folds all his marginals on the turn. Sound good?
  9. #9
    nutsinho's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    3,839
    Location
    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    i dont think this is thin at all
    My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
  10. #10
    yeah seems fine. flop cbet is a little small though isnt it?
  11. #11
    Oh ya. Thats either a misclick or a messed up HH. I probably ment 36.
  12. #12

    Default Re: 500NL too thin?

    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
    Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyes
    Such a weird style of play.
    As a rule, avoid big money bet/fold lines against erratic players.
    great advice

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •