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10NL - ATo Blind vs Blind flopped TPTK facing aggression.
Managed to get through 3k hands today on a day off and won a few BI's playing pretty solid, however this hand proved to be my most difficult spot.
Hero (BB): $14.94
UTG: $10.25
UTG+1: $26.97
UTG+2: $14.06
MP1: $10.15
MP2: $10.00
CO: $8.65
BTN: $9.85
SB: $14.78 13/8, Cbet 67%, Steal 0%
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A T
7 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.60) 3 T 8 (2 players)
SB bets $0.42, Hero raises to $1.30, SB raises to $3.50, Hero calls $2.20
Turn: ($7.60) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($7.60) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $4.35, Hero calls $4.35
Villain hasn't done anything crazy over 112 hands and so far isn't stealing wide in late position. Given that villain hasn't opened on my BB yet I take a flop rather than 3bet
Preflop
Villain hasn't done anything crazy over 112 hands and so far isn't stealing wide in late position. Given that villain hasn't opened on my BB yet I take a flop rather than 3bet
Flop
Flop comes down nice with TPTK, villain makes a standard 2/3 cbet and I suppose I could just flat but I wanted to raise for some protection vs overs and flush draws. I feel like he would just call with 9T, JT, QT, KT and possibly 87, 98, T8, A8. Obviously when he 3bets we can narrow his range down to total air (unlikely given stats), TT (unlikely as we have a T),33,88, AA-JJ, J9s, flush draws with overs.
Turn
Now when he checks I am ruling out sets, I'm assuming he'd make it 1/2 -2/3's to set up a shove on the river. It can still be draw as after I raise call on the flop and a brick comes off, it's not a card I'm likely to fold to another barrel so a bet from him would be committing his stack. We can't obviously completely rule out 33 but it's now extremely unlikely given theirs 2 on the board.
I'm checking back for pot control to pick up bluffs on the River.
River
Now I am pretty much ruling out 88, 33 and TT. It pretty much leaves us with missed FD's, J9s, JJ-AA and some air although I've pretty much ruled this out as well as it would be a crazy line with overs etc.
I am pretty tired right now so the thought process may not be completely right here but it's would be a very strange line for a bluff but then again for pretty much all the hands in his range IMO.
Villain had A3o btw, can't get the converter to show this for some reason!
Thoughts?
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