|
The hypothesis that got me started on this idea is: Is there a correlation between betting behavior before the flop and the contents of the flop (particularly Aces) and unbid hands behind you? Given that Aces and (to a lesser extent) Kings are less likely to be mucked than other single cards. This correlation is probably the strongest when 7 players fold to you on the button, where I postulate the odds of an Ace being in one of the blinds and/or in the flop is significantly higher (as much as 2x as likely.) I ran some numbers, but without real data it's hard to draw any conclusions or determine how far they carry.
Furthermore, collecting the data could open up all kinds of interesting investigations.
The biggest concern setting something like this up is figuring out participants' comfort level is sharing data and what data needs to be hidden to protect participants' betting behavior and identity.
|