TPTK keep on value betting? 50nl

[daven]

SB is whale station
UTG+1 is 36-4 over 40, no aggro, got some of his stack by limp-calling AA from utg, then c-calling J93hhd, Js, then a river checked through 8d.
So, his calling range on this flop is all sets, all Kx, KT/T7s, QJ, AJ, AQ/89s/J9s.
I doubt his turn calling range is much different.
Thoughts on turn and river sizing?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($111.25)
SB ($35.10)
BB ($77.35)
Hero (UTG) ($50)
UTG+1 ($61)
MP1 ($52.75)
MP2 ($50)
MP3 ($25.50)
CO ($63.85)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A
Hero bets $1.75, UTG+1 calls $1.75, 5 folds, SB calls $1.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($5.75) 10, K, 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, UTG+1 calls $4, SB calls $4

Turn: ($17.75) 5 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12, UTG+1 calls $12, 1 fold

River: ($41.75) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $xx,

[jimmy44]

You forgot KK/TT/77/55/K7s for villain's range.

Here's a better range I think:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

124 games 0.005 secs 24,800 games/sec

Board: Td Kh 7s 5d 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 70.968% 68.55% 02.42% 85 3.00 { AhKs }
Hand 1: 29.032% 26.61% 02.42% 33 3.00 { TT, 77, 55, AQs+, ATs, K9s+, K7s, QTs+, JTs, T8s+, 98s, AQo+, ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, 98o }


So I would bet/fold about $15.

[daven]

'all sets',
i bet $12 planning to bet-fold - so seems we're thinking along similar lines here

[lancelott_]

shove for value vs looser/weaker guys, with higher vpip/wtsd, lower fold vs cbets on all streets
bet-fold like 20-26$ vs tighter, more solid guys

[Deanglow]

Well it is either shove or bluffcatch or fold and against a passive just shove

[jimmy44]

Guys, but don't you think villain folds AT or K2s to a shove?

[bikes]

Well it is either shove or bluffcatch or fold and against a passive just shove

i think its a pretty clear shove.

[Renton]

this is one of those spots where it might be somewhat better to bet less than what's left instead of the rest.

Shoving is just fine. betting like 15.75/f could be better.

[Donachello]

this is one of those spots where it might be somewhat better to bet less than what's left instead of the rest.

Shoving is just fine. betting like 15.75/f could be better.

I like this, simply because I think a lot of his Tx hands fold to a jam but probably snap call 15-16. I could also see you getting looked up by like 88 99 here some of the time if you bet smaller. I've been noticing that even these stationy players have a fold button vs 3 streets these days so there is certainly merit in not jamming.

[paratrooper99]

B/F 16 on river.

[daven]

bet $12, villain called KT. Interesting hand.

[caddie444]

I'm def in the b/f like $14 camp

[Deanglow]

Its close but I'd shove because his most likely hand is AK IMO and lol at us value shoving worse

[BankItDrew]

Why are people recommending betting $15ish then folding to a CIB(shove)?

just shove, villain probably sucks

[oskar]

With some other villain description I could see bet/folding whatever, but in this case I'd just jam. Anyway my line would be 4.5, 14.5, shovel