|
Originally Posted by Nekrogovner
Wow. So, few fish questions.
Why wouldn't villain take that line with QQ, KK (and maybe but highly unlikely coldcalling AA if he expects a squeeze from someone)?
How likely is for villain to take this line with KQ of spades? I smell busted draw all the way.
Since villains raise most clearly represents a set, why do villains, especially solid regs/tags, almost always raise flop with their sets? Like, way more often then raising a turn?
What hands would villain, in this particular spot, mix up in his flop raising range, so it doesn't become transparent that all of his flop raises are nuts? Flush/straight draw? JT? Jx?
What do you make of villains turn bet size? Any reason to bet bigger here?
Why wouldn't villain take that line with QQ, KK (and maybe but highly unlikely coldcalling AA if he expects a squeeze from someone)?
Because he would be overrepresenting his hand, doing that profitable you kinda have to have enough metagame going on for you to belive that villain would call you with Jx type of hands, and you would have to know its in his PFR range from UTG+1.
How likely is for villain to take this line with KQ of spades? I smell busted draw all the way.
Very unlikely, 100bbs deep coldcalling KQs vs UTG+1 would mean trouble, villain would be better off 3betting preflop. Raising the flop, giving us a calling range of QQ+, and a raising range sets/?AsXs?, where we would likely fold QQ+ to a turnbet when draw completes.
Since villains raise most clearly represents a set, why do villains, especially solid regs/tags, almost always raise flop with their sets? Like, way more often then raising a turn?
This is individual, flopraises are very likely to be seen as bullshitraises, and often they are. Also turnraises look stronger in general. And it also depends alot on history/metagame vs the villain
What hands would villain, in this particular spot, mix up in his flop raising range, so it doesn't become transparent that all of his flop raises are nuts? Flush/straight draw? JT? Jx?
It depends. Some villains never bluff here, we have a strong range UTG+1 and its very likely villain just calls to setmine. Some do it with theyr underpairs and some people have a wider range. Generally people just want to grind it out tho.
What do you make of villains turn bet size? Any reason to bet bigger here?
Our range is pretty defined here, and its pretty obvious villain dont want us to fold, he is LDO not afraid of the draw hitting and he might even think he is repping the draw and hope we spazzshove.
Hope that helped, and if you think you have better answers, feel free to comment on my thoughts
|