100NL: Nut flush on paired board vs aggro villain

[downunder]

Villain was typical 16/13 aggro post flop. c-bets 75% out of a lot of hands.
I called pre as UTG was a fish.
I bet on turn otherwise I won't have value from any Jx. Villain raise can be Adx/KK/JJ/KJ or a pure bluff (as fish has folded already). Therefore, we cannot fold.
Maybe a 1/2 pot bet on river is better (to have other badly played flush or AT call)?
Now villain pushes ... a bluff plays this way (but there aren't maybe that many) as well as KK/JJ/KJ ...
We're getting a something like 2.2-1 ... call/fold?



No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($103.20)
UTG ($184.25)
MP ($103.65)
Button ($110.65)
SB ($138.60)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, A
UTG calls $1, MP bets $5, 2 folds, Hero calls $4, UTG calls $4

Flop: ($15.50) J, K, J (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks

Turn: ($15.50) 6 (3 players)
Hero bets $10, 1 fold, MP raises $30, Hero calls $20

River: ($75.50) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $68.65 (All-In), Hero ??

[ZwiFT]

Villain raise can be Adx/KK/JJ/KJ or a pure bluff

What, really?

[bikes]

he is not value shipping worse and it's pretty unrealistic for most regs to multi street bluff or fire the final bullet as a bluff.

[rpm]

i agree with bikes. for the reasons he stated. granted he's only repping 4 combos. but 4 value combos that beat us + 0 value combos we beat + 0 bluffs = a range that crushes us.

[Lifer]

pretty sure he has a boat a lot when he checks that flop, pretty sure he has a boat almost always when he raises that turn, pretty sure he has a boat, yup