1. With AK, what are the odds that one of the 9 opponents are holding a KK or AA?
2. With AK, what are the odds that one of the 9 opponents are holding a AA, KK, or QQ?
Thank you in advance.
09-15-2018 01:59 PM
#1
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With AK, what are the chances someone has KK or AA1. With AK, what are the odds that one of the 9 opponents are holding a KK or AA? |
09-15-2018 04:09 PM
#2
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Ok... | |
Last edited by OngBonga; 09-15-2018 at 04:23 PM. | |
09-15-2018 04:20 PM
#3
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I took a shortcut with the queens. It's tricky to calculate the same way, since there's an extra queen, so the probability of him hitting a pocket pair with his second card is awkward... it depends if his first card was a Q or a K/A. I confess I don't actually know how to approach this using multiplication. | |
Last edited by OngBonga; 09-15-2018 at 04:24 PM. | |
09-15-2018 04:29 PM
#4
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Last edited by OngBonga; 09-15-2018 at 04:37 PM. | |
09-15-2018 07:50 PM
#5
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Worth looking at articles on combinatorics. Think there's a couple on here. | |
09-16-2018 12:21 AM
#6
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Last edited by legitxeris; 09-16-2018 at 12:27 AM. | |
09-16-2018 12:27 AM
#7
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Are you sure there was no mistake somewhere? 9% seems extremely high considering I have not gotten any pocket AAs in the last 14 hours. On most nights, I only get a pocket Q or better twice over 7 hour period. |
09-16-2018 07:48 AM
#8
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You can't determine probabilities by looking at what's happened in the last 14 hours. What you're experiencing there is variance. 14 hours is not a lot in poker, it's basically like saying if I flip a coin five times and it's heads 4 tails 1, the probability of it being heads is more than the probability of it being tails. That is clearly wrong and is nothing more than an anomoly due to small sample size. | |
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