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Originally Posted by spoonitnow
It doesn't really matter if he's a bad player, no matter how many times you repeat it. What's his range and how does he play it?
Ok, I might be way off here but I think something like { TT-55, ATs-A9s, KcJc, QJs, T9s, Tc8c, 87s, 8c6c, 7c6c, 5c4c, ATo-A9o, QJo, T9o, 87o } might be about right. I don't know how to represent just an Ax of clubs, but this probably forms some of his range too. JJ+ usually raises PF.
Sets - obv these hands fit.
Small pockets (44 - 99) - the flop call fits this betting pattern, but the turn line min-raise doesn't.
Combo draws (like QJc) - these might fit his play, but it doesn't look like it. Why would he min-raise with a draw? I would guess he'd either call or pump it with a hand like this.
Club draw or SD - Same issue as above. It's possible but his play doesn't really fit the hand.
Two pair - The most obv 2 pair hand, T9o, obv fits the betting line.
TP - Something like AT fits the betting conversation if he's loose enough to call with two overs on the flop.
So refining the process a bit more, I'd say his range on the turn is {ATo, ATs, 22, 33, 99, TT, T9} with an outside shot at some kind of combo draw.
Board: 2h 3c 9c Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.742% 61.74% 00.00% 5379 0.00 { TT-99, 33-22, ATs, T9s, ATo, T9o }
Hand 1: 38.258% 38.26% 00.00% 3333 0.00 { QQ }
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