|
Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey
OK, so if we completely ignore your bluffing range for a bit...
Do the same analysis on Villain's range OTT. What hands do you think Villain folds to a bet, with what does Villain call, and with what does Villain raise?
Take it a step further and ask yourself... if I check... what hands will Villain bet. If I c/r, how does that affect Villain's range?
Which one seems* like you'll get more value? Don't forget to take into account that you may check and Villain will NOT bet, meaning a lot less money goes into the pot.
*I've intentionally avoided all the math, and I will do so for this entire post. You getting a feel for ranges is enough for now.
Now come up with a plan of attack against that range, using your own range to get to the turn in this hand.
What do you think is your best play against this Villain here?
man this took too long to figure out...anyways, heres what i came up with:
i check, villain bets: TT-88,66,KTs,QTs,JTs,T8s+,54s,KhQh,AhJh,KhJh,QhJh,Ah9 h,Kh9h,Qh9h,Jh9h,Ah8h,Kh8h,9h8h,8h6h,ATo,KTo,QTo,J To,T9o
i bet, villain folds: 99,54s,As7s,8h6h,6h5h,T9o,87o
i bet, villain calls: 88,AKs,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,T8s+,97s,87s,75s,KhQ h,AhJh,KhJh,QhJh,Ah9h,Kh9h,Qh9h,Jh9h,Ah8h,Kh8h,9h8 h,Ah6h,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo
i bet, villain raises: TT,66,JTs,AhJh,KhJh,QhJh,JTo
So it seems that by betting the turn, im folding out some of the weaker end of his range that might have otherwise bluffed/semibluffed the turn. So it would be best to c/r the turn to build the pot. Any thoughts on sizing?
|