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KK dry -ish flop vs meganit

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  1. #1

    Default KK dry -ish flop vs meganit

    ok so this guy plays 16/1 over a decent sample. i figured out his range to be AA AKs QQ , KK JJ , TT . against this range i am a 65% fav
    if i leave out JJ and KK it's a flip.

    am i correct to assign him this range or is this always the nuts. ty , notice i play a pretty TAG game like 20/15 and we sat down together for over 400 hands and i sure as hell wasn't passive myself so that's why i figured i would assign him this range . thnx

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG+1 ($5.98)
    MP1 ($4)
    MP2 ($5.42)
    Hero (MP3) ($5.07)
    CO ($14.26)
    Button ($1.93)
    SB ($4.97)
    BB ($2.80)
    UTG ($12.24)

    Preflop: Hero is MP3 with ,
    4 folds, Hero bets $0.18, CO calls $0.18, 3 folds

    Flop: ($0.43) , , (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $0.10, Hero raises $0.44, CO calls $0.34

    Turn: ($1.31) (2 players)
    Hero bets $1.27, CO raises $2.54, Hero raises $3.18 (All-In), CO calls $1.91

    River: ($10.21) (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Total pot: $10.21
  2. #2
    daviddem's Avatar
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    First when you want to convert a hand from HEM, right click on the hand and select "copy hand to clipboard", then paste in the converter. Do not right click and select "view selected hand histories" (if you do the raise sizes are confusing because it says "raises $X" instead of "raises to $x").

    Why would he do that with AKs? If you mean AcKc, I don't see a 16/1 play the turn this way after just calling on the flop (mind that I don't see 16/1's every day)...

    On the turn against TT+,55 you have 53.7% equity. Against QQ+,55, you have 46.4% equity.

    I'd say if it is range 1, just shove right there. If it is range 2, just calling the turn may give you an opportunity to make him fold AA on a club river (or try for a check/check if you think a bluff repping the flush would not work). Whichever way, if you call the turn you are never folding.
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  3. #3
    !Luck's Avatar
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    Why check raise a "mega nit". What are you trying to get value from on the flop? QQ and JJ? I much prefer to bet.
  4. #4
    bet flop, he is going to check behind here a shit ton and if he's as passive as his stats indicate he will check behind a fuck ton of flushdraws to pick up a free chance at the flush....absolutely horrible check raise imo.....now youve check raised flop and potted the turn and hes still raising you i think you can find a fold here.
  5. #5
    Wait, a 16/1 is a meganit and you are TAG at 20/15 at FR?

    I don't get the c/r on flop
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  6. #6
    kmind's Avatar
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    He's 16/1 so the first thing that should pop into your head is that he's passive. If he's passive, then we get so much more value betting than checking because his calling range >>>> betting range. We have the Kc so it's not like he's semi-bluffing. Go ahead and b/f a lot on this board. I'd fold to his turn raise.

    If we have any postflop reads that'd be nice though.

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