Raise/Fold or Raise/Call? 200NL

My session stats is 18.6/13.2/af3.69/3bet2.6 751 hands

The villain is 31/19/af1.1/3bet6.3 463 hands

His range on river?

Raise/Fold or Raise/Call?

Sizing is everything because if you raise too big you have to call a shove.

$1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

Hero (CO): $402.25 (201.1 bb)
BTN: $394.15 (197.1 bb)
SB: $203 (101.5 bb)
BB: $201.55 (100.8 bb)
UTG: $200 (100 bb)
MP: $93.35 (46.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 9
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($13) A A T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($13) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($13) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.50, BB raises to $32.50, Hero ???

af 1.1 he's prob got KQ or a boat

definitely bet/call, his river range is Ax/straight/boat

His line is kind of FoS too.

Yeah, look him up.

I probably couldn't resist the urge to 3bet this river.

if you 3bet, do you click it back or make it around $70 and fold to a shove?

Originally Posted by bspahn

if you 3bet, do you click it back or make it around $70 and fold to a shove?

Depends, but say around $80 and probably not folding the very best hand in my range if he jams, but my presence at the table seems to have a very peculiar tilting effect on loose-passive players, I have no idea why.

prob bet/folding 9$ on the river, when u half pot it looks so weak i guess u gotta sigh call

u say sigh call because player is very passive and you're only beating KQ right?

Seems like an easy b/c here. I don't think I'd be 3betting when we lose to quite a few possible hands.

Yeah for the record b/c is standard, but these guys just never check it to me thrice EVER and a 3bet could induce some spew if villain is capable. A canadian with these stats is going to have AJ or aces every time he 4bets ldo. A Scandi fish not so much.

Guys with his stats will have something else than a boat maybe 10% of the time, regardless of what we assume his range to be because he checked to us thrice. I think.


edit: yeah if he's scandi it must be a call... i also misread his stats for 31/13, but wtv he's still pretty passive. Still think u gotta call when u bet this small

Results or two day tempban. Also do we know country of villain?