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 Originally Posted by Silly String
EDIT: I think I realized my error. We don't win $290, we only win about $290-$110 or $180. Right? Mathwiz, anyone, help?
I think that's right, so I make it
NetAAEV = -48
NetOtherEV = +93
So, actually he has to have AA > 33% of the time to make it a bad call. Since you hold 2 Ks AK/KK is pretty uncommon. It comes down to QQ... If he shoves QQ ~100% of the time, it's a good call. If he shoves JJ+QQ 50% of the time, it's a good call.
I think that if it was a 3-bet a/i you could call safely, but not a 5-bet. 5 bet seems to be only AK/KK/AA unless you have evidence, and that's like a 60% chance of AA, which is CLEARLY a fold.
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