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KQo in squeezed pot facing scary turn c/r

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  1. #1

    Default KQo in squeezed pot facing scary turn c/r

    Villain is 24/17 and has folded to 2/2 3-bets over 140 hands. I don't really remember having played any significant pots with him. UTG (who is really the HJ) is fairly tight and folds a lot to 3-bets over this sample.

    I think checking flop is best here. We get max 2 streets from a worse hand and save money vs stuff like ThTx JhJx (his most likely hands that c/c flop) when the turn is a heart by taking a free one instead then v betting turn and river on good run outs. We might also induce some stabs from his air.

    He min raises the turn which is weird and makes me sad. He reps 99 and some flushes for value, maybe he even has AhQx sometimes or the occasional slowplayed overpaid sometimes. I can't find much off suit AhX hands he's flatting preflop then doing this with and I can't see JJ TT etc ever playing this way, so shrug and fold assuming we just ran into the nuts here mostly I guess?

    PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (BTN): 101.23 BB
    SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.30, PFR: 18.77, 3Bet Preflop: 8.25, Hands: 829)
    BB: 102.29 BB (VPIP: 32.93, PFR: 16.77, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 173)
    UTG: 106.9 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 16.44, 3Bet Preflop: 8.50, Hands: 378)
    CO: 101.89 BB (VPIP: 25.86, PFR: 15.52, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 118)

    SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K Q

    UTG raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 9 BB

    Flop: (28.5 BB, 2 players) Q 4 9
    CO checks, Hero checks

    Turn: (28.5 BB, 2 players) 4
    CO checks, Hero bets 21 BB, CO raises to 45.5 BB, Hero?
    Last edited by Carroters; 09-09-2013 at 03:52 PM.
  2. #2
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
    our turn sizing seems off


  3. #3
    When he checks twice I'm going for the thin value river shove on blanks which will be like 68/70 with the idea that his turn c/c range is really capped on blank rivers. No like?
  4. #4
    Actually yeah if I bet more this is probably better.

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