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KJs considering nitting up a river.
Villian is a reg I don't have any history with. So far he's c-bet 4 times out of 4. BB is a fish who seems pretty passive. I go for a c/r on the flop.
This is horribly unbalanced as I never play Tx this way. I'm counting on the fact that most regs at 100NL are straight forward enough to shrug fold all their air here any way and some don't even make this assumption in the first place. I don't care that my range is just air as long as he doesn't know this.
I think just firing turn is probably better, perhaps getting him off some non trips/any floats he has here that aren't now spade draws. I decided to just c/f to normal sizing in game with it being a paired board, AsXs being quite a likely floating hands for him and yeah he has a lot of Tx combos.
His turn sizing was a little scary, but this river sizing seems more like Tx than the nut flush or a boat. I am worried about raising though as these hands can still be in his range and I basically shouldn't have any air at all here so whether he can call a c/r with JT seems dubious. Who raises here, and if so, sizing?
PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: 87.76 BB (VPIP: 24.10, PFR: 18.28, 3Bet Preflop: 7.33, Hands: 369)
CO: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 20.47, PFR: 16.02, 3Bet Preflop: 6.87, Hands: 1,219)
BTN: 129.8 BB (VPIP: 44.83, PFR: 41.38, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 30)
Hero (SB): 119.65 BB
BB: 45.1 BB (VPIP: 26.09, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
UTG: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 14.71, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 37)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K J
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (7.5 BB, 3 players) T 7 T
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, BTN calls 7 BB
Turn: (29.5 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, BTN bets 8.22 BB, Hero calls 8.22 BB
River: (45.94 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, BTN bets 17.75 BB, Hero?
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