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Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

Bet this river for value?

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  1. #1

    Default Bet this river for value?

    Trying to figure out how many combos call a river bet here. In hindsight I like a c-c better here but his bet sizing was pretty small so I am less inclined to put him on a monster and thinking a thin VB may be ok in this spot?

    PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    BTN: 140 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
    SB: 236.62 BB (VPIP: 21.25, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 82)
    BB: 163.32 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
    UTG: 29.38 BB (VPIP: 29.63, PFR: 25.93, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
    MP: 205.54 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
    Hero (CO): 166.1 BB

    SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 9

    fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

    Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 2 A 9
    SB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets 4.78 BB, fold, Hero calls 4.78 BB

    Turn: (19.56 BB, 2 players) 8
    Hero checks, BTN bets 9.34 BB, Hero raises to 25 BB, BTN calls 15.66 BB

    River: (69.56 BB, 2 players) K
    Hero bets 34 BB, BTN calls 34 BB
  2. #2
    Let's look at the turn a little closer. He bets again when the flush completes and calls a check raise. Put him on a range here. Also, you appear to have only played 3 hands together so he is readless against you as well. Assuming he has any sort of brain I can't imagine him calling your turn c/r with anything less than two pair. His turn sizing is weirdly small which looks a lot like a medium flush or A2 or A8.

    As played, the river bet is fine I guess but that is only assuming you are ahead on the turn, which I highly doubt you are.

    I'd prefer donking the turn since it looks weird and bluffy with the flush completing and probably gets a call from a lot of Ax or JT QJ hands with a club.
    [00:29] <daven> dc, why not check turn behind
    [00:30] <DC> daven
    [00:30] <DC> on my hand?
    [00:30] <daven> yep
    [00:30] <DC> because I am drunk
    [00:30] <daven> nice reason
    [00:30] <daven> no further questions
    [00:30] <yaawn> ^^Lol

    Problem officer...?
  3. #3
    Renton's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    a little town called none of your goddamn business
    Turn is a very clear check/call.
  4. #4
    Like the guys said,check/call the turn ,and bet the river ,a good card for you

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