|
99 100NL turned my made hand into a bluff
Ok well this is probably pretty terrible and you're all going to hate it but I figured I'd post just to make sure since I thought it was a good play when I made it.
Villain is MrPaddington, 17/14, cb 53% over 637 hands, relevant note: "nit who can make laydowns"
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($101.50)
Button ($113.75)
Hero (SB) ($100.90)
BB ($104.50)
UTG ($101.50)
MP ($128.60)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, 9
UTG bets $3, 3 folds, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($7) 3, 2, 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $4.50, Hero raises to $15, UTG calls $10.50
Turn: ($37) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks
River: ($37) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $26, Hero raises to $82.90 (All-In)
Ok so first I c/r the flop because I didn't think I could c/c profitably against such a tight utg range since he's going to suckout/barrel often on over cards if he doesn't already have me beat and it's still a difficult spot to c/c down without over cards falling. Maybe leading is best?
After he calls his range is probably just overpairs and sets, I check planning on c/f. He checks behind. His range now is just 99-AA, maybe 77/88. I check the river again expecting him to vbet all overpairs. I don't think betting here is good since he's calling every time with everything that beats me. Now I don't think I can call, so the decision is between folding and raising as a bluff. I thought since his range was so obvious, he knew his range was obvious, he probably knew that I knew his range was obvious, and he probably knows that I expect him to vbet the river coupled with the fact that he probably doesn't think I expect him to fold made shoving as a bluff a decent play.
What do you guys think?
|