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50nl debating over-betting
villain is some australian dude. i joined his table and he had ~140bb at the time. he seems like a pretty straightforward reg. not sure how relevant it really is but he was something like 75/55 with 20% 3bet. he seemed to 3bet a pretty de-polarised range, i've seen him show up with AA,AQ,KJ in 3b pots. he was opening damn close to 100% of buttons. 50% fold to flop cbet (over 18) and 0% fold to turn cbet (out of 3). he probably sees me as being a pretty aggressive regular however i haven't overbet the pot once.
i feel like overbetting the river will see him fold close to 100% of the time given how capped his range is (i am pretty sure he would have C/R'd anything stronger than two pair on the turn, and 76 can also be discounted because he didn't C/R flop and i suspect he will lead the river with it most of the time) what do you think?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (2 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (SB) ($66.70)
BB ($103.95)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J, 9
Hero bets $1, BB calls $0.50
Flop: ($2) 8, 4, 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.50) 10 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3
River: ($10.50) 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $12.75
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