200NL Zoom deep yo

3bettor is nitty, 18/12/4.4 over 300 hands. New reg, haven't played a real postflop pot with him. Flatter is a bad reg, probably has every pair, suited broadways, maybe some 67s. I expect him to have a wide donking range (16%, folded once when raised)


PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button ($552.73)
SB ($200)
BB ($1959.08)
UTG ($201)
MP ($224.80)
Hero (CO) ($782.85)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 7
2 folds, Hero bets $5, Button raises to $16, 1 fold, BB calls $14, Hero calls $11

Flop: ($49) 2, 5, 4 (3 players)
BB bets $30, Hero calls $30, Button calls $30

Turn: ($139) 5 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $108, Button calls $108, 1 fold

River: ($355) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $628.85 ($399 to call)

I don't get it.

Like everything

Is he really going to fold the nut flush in a 3bet pot on this board?

Originally Posted by pocketfours

Is he really going to fold the nut flush in a 3bet pot on this board?

Not sure why you think he's behind, no action the button has taken makes me think he has anything else but an overpair.

Yeah, I'm not bluffing...

Originally Posted by Numbr2intheWorld

Not sure why you think he's behind, no action the button has taken makes me think he has anything else but an overpair.

I don't think he's behind. We're playing against a range, aren't we?

We are shoving against the nit, not the bad reg. Why is the nitty (and presumed decent) reg supposed to call this with diamond aces? Because he puts us on diamond threes or diamond sixes? That's six combos he beats.

Don't think you get called very often on the riv. Think I prefer a bigger turn bet, or smaller river bet. There's just not many bluffs you can have in this spot, and for that reason i'd add hands like 34s,46s, 33,66 to take this line with and expect to profit against most except the ultra curious/stationy players obv. AdKx as well but that's probably the only non suited broadway your flatting with here right?

I wouldn't add those hands and I don't think flatting pre with AKo is a good play in this spot either.

AK flat pre seems okay, cold flatter is loose and we're deep vs him, and postflop won't be too hard to play.

Very easy check back on this river as I don't think we're bluffing him off of better (only maybe like 9Tdd, TJdd), and he's also never calling with worse. Doing it with the Ad blocker would be fine though.

We're oop Alexos, you c/f?

yeah, didn't notice that but same reasoning applies, I c/f

I play the same.

Don't see how it's not a bet since we're good 90% of the time. I don't like a shove, probably $220 is better.

Since when do nits only 3bet aces or kings otb? And even if we put him on a super tight range, he has AdAc, AdAs, AdAh and AdKd left by the river and he didn't flat the turn because he thought you were bluffing.

There is close to a 0% chance that he overcalled the flop with AKdd

And no chance villain 3bets low pp's or 45s otb?

Originally Posted by Deanglow

There is close to a 0% chance that he overcalled the flop with AKdd

Why?

But anyways, we might be ahead often enough, but I just don't think he's paying it off with worse on the river often enough to make it profitable.