100 nl - TT in 3bet pot on j high gets river shoved

Villain seems like a TAG reg over 200 hands or so, around 18/15/2.5, 5% 3bet.

Thoughts on all actions please.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($104)
Hero (MP) ($107)
CO ($58.50)
Button ($100)
SB ($76.25)
BB ($100)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 10, 10
UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, Button raises to $11, 3 folds, Hero calls $8

Flop: ($26.50) 3, 7, 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($26.50) J (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $18, Hero calls $18

River: ($62.50) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $71 (All-In), Hero ?

i assume by the lack of replies that this is a close spot?

why did you check the turn? if you think your hand is too weak vs his range to bet the turn for value, then how can the river not be a fold?

get value from air i spose

not saying it would be good/bad, but is he 'goofy' enough to delayed cbet air here? i mean, usually people are either cbetting flop or giving up with air on this board. They cant really represent having Jx too well after squeezing an utg raise +mp call.

I dont see anything wrong with folding this preflop

I don't think I know enough about him to say whether he'd delayed cbet with air, but i ASSUME he would sometimes balance his range by checking back his big pairs.

I doubt the TAG reg would turn AK on the river into a bluff, so pretty trivial fold or am I missing something? Then again you don't look like you can call a shove - but that line of thinking often gets me to bleed money in 3bet pots.

what do we think of villains play with:

missed overs
KK+

No way a tagish villain is bluffing here. Smells like JJ checking for some kind of potcontrol or to get value out of small pps.

Although there are not many J's he can represent by squeezing an UTG raise, Im not sure if villan will know this and after you check back to him twice he thinks he can get you off a low PP or an AK/AQs type hand, and when you just check check call check your giving him room to do this.

Whats your line if you have QQ-AA here and presume you just flatted pre. Do you play it the same and let villan hang himself?

tbh i'd probably bet the turn/river with qq+

*BUMP*