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1/2 - trips good kicker facing river c/r

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  1. #1

    Default 1/2 - trips good kicker facing river c/r

    Villain is an ok reg, breakeven over a good sample, running 22/17/2.7, 3bets 7% from sb, donks flops 8%. BB is a big fish, running 38/5/0.9 over a good sample.

    Possibly relevant hand a half-hour earlier at another table... Villain 3b me oop, I flatted, he cbet 332rb flop, I called, we checked through a 4 turn, he overbet bluff shoved a J river ($150 into $100) with ATs, I called with A3s.

    Thoughts on all streets welcome.


    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    saw flop

    UTG ($629.10)
    MP ($216.95)
    CO ($62.70)
    Hero (Button) ($206)
    SB ($378.85)
    BB ($253)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, A
    3 folds, Hero bets $6, SB calls $5, BB calls $4

    Flop: ($18) 4, 8, A (3 players)
    SB bets $12, 1 fold, Hero calls $12

    Turn: ($42) A (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks

    River: ($42) 6 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $24, SB raises to $360.85 (All-In), Hero...
  2. #2
    Why not bet the turn here? Your hand is super strong.

    On the river it's tough. Your hand looks really really weak, and almost like some midpair or spades. Unless he was slowplaying turn, the only hand that makes sense now is 6's full and maybe A6 sometimes.

    The fact that he just bluffed you big previous hand though makes this though, if you hadn't said that I would definitely call this given what our hand looks like.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24 View Post
    Why not bet the turn here? Your hand is super strong.
    I think his donk into a big fish and a pre-flop raiser is super strong. I would only do that on this board with the top of my range.

    If you bet turn I guess you're shoving over a c/r?
  4. #4
    I'm betting because I think he has a c/c range here and we're ahead of that range. If he c/r, I'd say that's pretty strong here.

    Though I misread the HH and thought that he was pfr and bet flop and checked turn, didn't notice you were pfr.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  5. #5
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    This looks like a very easy fold to me. I would b/f the turn and check behind any river when called. Much more value in a turn bet than in a river bet.
  6. #6
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    checking the turn then betting the river seems prittay bad
    My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
  7. #7
    Your river value bet makes no sense, very few hands can you get value from with AQ on that board. Check and call a bluff. Your bet says, "I have an ace, please bust me if you can beat trips." A check might induce a bluff, but your hand can't take heat on that board.

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