1/2 river hero call vs. overbet?

No notes on villain, he's running 25/18/4.1 over a few hundred hands, steals CO 38%, folds to 3bets 56%.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button ($88.90)
SB ($306.50)
Hero (BB) ($388.60)
UTG ($200)
MP ($200)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, 7
1 fold, MP bets $7, 2 folds, Hero raises to $24, MP calls $17

Flop: ($49) 9, K, K (2 players)
Hero bets $28, MP calls $28

Turn: ($105) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP checks

River: ($105) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $148 (All-In), Hero...

hahaha

bikes stop ninja deleting your posts

oops, fixed. somewhat hypothetical, forgot to change a card

Pretty easy to get owned in these spots imo.

I wouldn't 3bet this particular player (not folding to 3bets) with this hand.

As played, pretty easy fold. He can have lots of boats that would play this way too, K9, 99, JJ, KJ. Might even have hands like AJ/QQ that could play like this.

Do you think the turn c/behind weakens, strengthens or doesn't change his range?

I'd guess the turn check behind removes a lot of air form his range, also discounts the top hands in his range somewhat, given the SPR ratio and board texture

Originally Posted by Alexos

bikes stop ninja deleting your posts

he had 8 high when the hand was posted =(

Originally Posted by bikes

he had 8 high when the hand was posted =(

i know.. I didn't write hahahah to a legit question lol

I like c/f this river

No.

Even more reason to fold, is that given your line your entire range is either snap folding or hero calling. So his entire value betting range here could be comfortably shoving, given that you would have bet a strong portion of your range on the turn or river.

fold