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If your opponent's range is really polarised compared to yours and he's good enough to barrel with an optimum frequency then you can't profitably call him down over multiple streets of betting.

I...

This is way more important than most people realise. There are frequently times when you have more than 50% equity against your opponent's betting range yet it is correct to fold flop.

Hand 1:

Remember that the purpose of a bet if not just for value is to fold out hands with equity against yours, not just hands that are actually ahead. With two cards to come you probably have...

btw, just to clarify, the problem with the small turn bet is that it makes him likely to raise a more balanced range, whereas if you bet larger I expect him to raise almost entirely a nut range

I think if you're going to bet the turn it has to be bigger. Your sizing is screaming that you're trying to avoid getting all the money in. But yeah I think c/c has to be better, you basically have a...

I don't run tracking software so no HUD info unfortunately.

UTG and UTG+1 are both loose-passive fish.

I think it's possible that villain will over-limp pairs all the way up to 99 or maybe...

Villain in this hand is a pretty solid reg, plays about 16 tables and is a big winner at this level over a large sample. I don't think he's got any specific reads on me, I've been quite aggressive,...

No, I think you're spot on. I also think hero should raise pre so villain can call for set odds and then fold 80%+ flops.

Oh yeah wow, didn't notice that, I just assumed you'd bet turn and he'd called

you think he'll call this with a 9? If not then it's tough to see where the value's coming from. If you're just doing this because you don't want to fold the best hand I wouldn't worry too much. All...

lol. Chill.

I may just do that sometime though, could be an interesting exercise

Unless this is supposed to be just an exercise practising basic arithmetic, I'm not convinced that considering semi-bluffing whilst ignoring implied odds has that much value. I know you want to keep...

I think his range on the turn is approximately:

AsQx (3), KQ (4 discounted from 9) , QJ (4 dcf 12) JJ (6) 1010 (3) 99 (6) 88 (4 dcf 6) 77 (2 dcf 6), AxKs (1 dcf 2), Made flushes (2). Total of 35...

Villain is a reg who calls 3bets kind of light and is capable of light 3betting himself. We have a bit of history and he probably sees me as pretty aggressive, although I doubt he expects me to be...

This is a good point. What's the point in getting advice advice on playing poker from people who can't even get up to the high stakes themselves? Move up to the high stakes forum where they respect...

Rake at micros is significantly lower on stars compared to other sites, which more than makes up for lack of rakeback

This is not necessarily true. If you bet a normal size then many opponents will never raise as a bluff, which is really exploitable since you can easily b/f for thin value. If you bet smaller and...

Really? I get a standard deviation of about 11, putting him in the luckiest 0.1% of the population. Of course I don't know how that sits him in the population subset of people who had such abnormal...

Guys this magic "58%" number is completely bogus. The number depends not just on how often we check/fold the turn, but how often we bet turn again and how often we check/call. So if we always either...

That did actually get covered, though I can understand why you didn't read it all. He was assuming that villain never checked back.

[x] Range manipulation
[ ] Bluffing

I consider a bluff in poker to be a bet made with the purpose of folding out better hands. Drawing the line between this and range manipulation I think is very...

Most of what you say here seems reasonable. Of course you are quite right that just because a line is exploitable doesn't mean you shouldn't do it. I would agree that against certain villains your...

You're a clever guy, don't say things like this. You can call it betting for info or, if you want to sound clever rather than a donk, range manipulation, but you can't bluff with the best hand on the...

Given that there is another thread on this topic going on right now, I'd just like to point out that by taking this line (b/f) you are betting for information. You don't expect to get value from...

Reasons for betting/raising

1. To gain value when your opponent calls
2. To gain equity when your opponent folds
3. To manipulate your opponent into playing in a more exploitable way

Number 1...