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In actual practice, a swing of 200BB in 1k hands is far more likely than the statistics you show would make it appear.

Basically, by using this kind of analysis, you are employing the Central...

If villain is a very straight forward player, I love raising these rivers. As far as that goes, I'd go ahead and bet the turn.

It's not quite as bad as I said last post. In the proper situations this fold can be ok, especially at a short handed table where there are less people to keep track of for reads, and less people...

I miscounted the pot on hand 2 for some reason. It is still a call. If you are going to fold to a 3-bet, you've got 2 choices. Become a calling station, and don't raise in the first place, or get...

If you know all that stuff, why ask the question in a way that makes it look like you have very little idea what pot odds are or how to play post flop?

Hand 1, 3-bet the flop for value. Only a K and A can come to beat you if you are ahead. Although a good draw does not make a mistake by calling, this does not mean you don't still gain value from...

hand 1, check the flop, you have a low pair that isn't top pair, no kicker plus a low side OESD. You want to see a cheap turn. Bet the turn, you made your straight. You must call the river. Pot...

You are more or less correct that the turn is the key street in limit hold-em. This is assuming you have a very solid preflop game (if you don't, better worry about that first). Your rules for...

Leave the table when:
1. the table is no longer profitable enough to be worth your time
2. you are too tired to play well
3. you are too distracted to play well
4. you are too drunk to play well...

The 3-bet is clear here. In addition to being ahead of the original raiser's range, and making money off the blinds by forcing them into a real lose-lose situation, you will have position throughout...

I cap preflop, bet and re-raise the flop, bet turn and river, but consider c/c on the river if raised on the turn. If I know he 3-bets as loose as he raises preflop, and is loose/aggressive...

Where did this come from? Did a post get deleted here?

Um, but you're putting the extra bet in on the turn trying for a free showdown when you don't know you are ahead ... risking having to pay 3 or 4 bets to showdown rather than 2.

That's my whole...

The free showdown play is generally not a raise on the turn. It is more typically betting with position with an under-pair to the board (say you have TT and the board is K742), or you have a good...

Yeah, it always annoys me as well when people confuse loose and lose.

Nice to see you back at the limit forums Hyper.

P.S. I refrained from doing any math and answering the question because I...

i tend to do exactly that. semi-bluff raise, fire again on the turn. the standard "i have a hand" line. if you're raised on the turn, you have odds to call. and if you hit the river, you have a...

I call down with a read, but raising the turn is bad, and I don't like 3-betting the flop either. The only reasonable hands you beat that raise the flop are T4, 45, and 44-99.

Why not raise the turn in hand 1? I don't know why you put him on a flush draw. If he's a good player, he wouldn't raise for a free card OOP, and the raise isn't for value HU. I would think a good...

The hand that is behind has to win at least half the pot no matter what comes on the river.

Hand 1, it is ok to check, but you must raise when opponent bets. You want more money in the pot before a 3rd spade falls.

Hand 2, with your read that opponent c-bets a lot, raising the flop is a...

Just because opponents are making a correct call does not mean you are losing money. If you have a raising hand you should raise. Your opponents are still losing money on that extra bet and you are...

Here's a line I take a lot heads up or 3-way against loose opponents when I have position when my overcard hand has an Ace in it (very very important for showdown value).

After raising preflop,...

A common scenario for tournaments is an all-in situation when you or the other person has a short enough stack. For example, say the blinds are 100/200, and the Button goes all-in with his last 400...

Yeah hand 1 can be any nonpair combination of 3s, 4s, 5s, and 6s, and hand 2 is always 27. The board is the 2 pair that gives Hand1 an OESD with 2 and 7 as outs.

Could just as easily be a straight draw or a pair. The fact that he checked the river increases the chances he doesn't have the flush. Would be pretty stupid to check the flush after the turn...