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  1. Replies
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    18,186

    95% of all LLSNL players don't 4b anything short...

    95% of all LLSNL players don't 4b anything short of KK+, so any theory that leads us to conclude that we should bluff catch is dealing in the improbable as well. It makes sense to me that he'd do...
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    What I'm having trouble conveying is that when we...

    What I'm having trouble conveying is that when we flat turn, villain escapes with his last $175 when he's behind far more often than we escape with our last $175 when we're behind. Because of this,...
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    This inspired me to run the numbers. I think...

    This inspired me to run the numbers. I think it's easiest to treat this like an all-in call for $350 because that's pretty much what it is. So if his range is QQ+/AK and ATss-AQss + 98ss, then it's...
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    He'd be folding $175 (or I guess more like $215?)...

    He'd be folding $175 (or I guess more like $215?) with a chance to win $1,075. I assume that we're not so far ahead of whatever we beat, that we're sad to see him fold.
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    Turn action is extremely concerning. Doesn't...

    Turn action is extremely concerning. Doesn't really seem like he's trying too hard to get you to fold. Of course, he could be sizing on Level 3, but I very rarely get confirmation that players at...
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