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  1. Replies
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    I don't really know how these games play, but I...

    I don't really know how these games play, but I doubt he's squeezing or raising for value with any PPs lower than TT so that eliminates sets other than QQ for me. Also, I'd expect him to go for 3...
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    If they're playing 4nl or 6nl they're shite. You...

    If they're playing 4nl or 6nl they're shite. You won't be heads-up for long either.
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    I was just playing around in Excel, and it seems...

    I was just playing around in Excel, and it seems as though the EV of calling is much higher than the EV of jamming. If you call the flop and never fold the turn your EV will be higher than jamming...
  4. I'm just realising this doesn't make any sense....

    I'm just realising this doesn't make any sense. What I meant was that your pot equity isn't great so you're going to be more reliant on fold equity to make the play +EV and you don't have any. I...
  5. You don't really rep a great deal either like...

    You don't really rep a great deal either like {AK, 22} are really going to be the only value shoves and you mightn't be shoving them with a 100% frequency. That's assuming you're never flatting AA-KK...
  6. How do you set up this inequality? Fold%*pot...

    How do you set up this inequality?

    Fold%*pot - call%*??? > 0

    What's 1.92?
  7. I'd just fold. Board hits his range hard and he's...

    I'd just fold. Board hits his range hard and he's betting into two opponents, so it's unlikely you have much fold equity. If BB calls still fold. You need two folds now instead of one. If BB shoves...
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    I'd fold flop as well. Also, I'd move table due...

    I'd fold flop as well. Also, I'd move table due to the three short stackers. You should keep your stack at 100bb as well. Is there no auto top-up feature on Bovada?
  9. Replies
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    Imo Hero's possible value raises are A7s, K7s,...

    Imo Hero's possible value raises are A7s, K7s, 87s, 44, 77. But I dunno what Hero's range is sooo...

    BigSlick how would you play a hand like TT here?
  10. Replies
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    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Quantitative-Methods-Busin...

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Quantitative-Methods-Business-Management-Dewhurst/dp/0077109023 - This book was recommended to us for a "Quantitative Analysis" class we had to take during year 1 of an...
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    Okay I fucked up the EV calc. When we shove and...

    Okay I fucked up the EV calc. When we shove and lose we lose our 90bb shove not 59bbs.

    EV of shove vs TT+ with no fold equity = -5.28

    EV of shove vs TT+ AK with no fold equity = 1.93

    EV of...
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    AA (3) KK (6) QQ (6) JJ (6) AK (12) AQ (12)...

    AA (3)
    KK (6)
    QQ (6)
    JJ (6)
    AK (12)
    AQ (12)

    45 combos

    If we assume Villain is never folding Jacks or better, then he's folding 24/45 = 53%.
  13. Replies
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    Can anyone tell me I'm using the alpha value...

    Can anyone tell me I'm using the alpha value correctly here. It's been a while.

    On the river we're playing 65bb effective stacks and have a 87bb pot.

    From Villain's pov, if he jams 65bb against...
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    This all depends on how wide he's opening UTG and...

    This all depends on how wide he's opening UTG and calling the 3bet preflop, how many Qs he's likely to have in his range, and whether he's the type to call 3 streets with an underpair to the board on...
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    Okay, I just looked at this again, and I think...

    Okay, I just looked at this again, and I think I've figured out wtf is going on.

    Hero is on the BTN. Dealt to Hero: :ad::8d:

    Fish limps, Hero raises to 4bb, Villain 3bets to 10bb, Fish calls,...
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    Okay, thanks for the help Mojo. I hoked out an...

    Okay, thanks for the help Mojo. I hoked out an old textbook that covers this stuff. I'll bump this thread with questions if I hit any snags.
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    There's no point gettin' your knickers in a twist...

    There's no point gettin' your knickers in a twist over nothing. What villain is actually holding is irrelevant, you didn't know what he was holding when you made the decision to shove all-in. There...
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    In the OP you say "I was holding Ah8h," but it...

    In the OP you say "I was holding Ah8h," but it doesn't really matter. It's too difficult to read that hand history to really comment further.
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    You should put villain on a range. Then work out...

    You should put villain on a range. Then work out the EV of your semi-buff shove. Also, you could look at how you'd play the rest of the hands in your range in this spot.
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    I don't understand your description of the...

    I don't understand your description of the situation. I think you meant you were holding Ad8d. Just type out the scenario with all the relevant information (preflop action, villain's tendencies,...
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    Thanks for responding, feel free to wave the...

    Thanks for responding, feel free to wave the white flag any time.

    So the variance is always a squared number due to the calculation you perform to obtain it. And cm^2 implies area, like the area...
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    Hey Mojo, what does the variance actually tell...

    Hey Mojo, what does the variance actually tell us? I just read this: http://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-deviation.html and arriving at the answer seems fairly straightforward, but I don't really...
  23. Really good post.

    Really good post.
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    I agree with the others. Raise flop, raise turn,...

    I agree with the others. Raise flop, raise turn, fold river. River call is diabolical. Why did you call the river?
  25. Anarchy is the way to go imo.

    Anarchy is the way to go imo.
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