I think you are saying EV and the outcome in dollars are the same thing... I beleive they are not. I'd like to put EV in units of bets.
Let's say we are looking down on AA, and we know villain...
Type: Posts; User: Belt
I think you are saying EV and the outcome in dollars are the same thing... I beleive they are not. I'd like to put EV in units of bets.
Let's say we are looking down on AA, and we know villain...
In original example the outcome is the same in dollars. In yours it's not. This brings another variable to the equation.
But good point none the less. :)
I'd say the EV is different while...
Doesn't matter how many shots we have. We always have to choose the better EV. In this case its the second option.
Expected value may seem the same in $, but it is different when you look at it in terms of percentage...
EV in $100 bet is $10 -> 10%
EV in $50 bet is $10 -> 20%
Say you have 100K,
You can...
27 or so I guess.
Please, don't.
The spot you described is not common for good regs.
Yes.
Yes, I beleive this is the easiest way to calculate equity without stove. But I also beleive that one would very very rarely need this kind of calculation during the hand. In other words, while it's...
I agree that the lucky ones have a positive attitude... But do they have positive attitude because they are lucky or are they lucky because of the positive attitude?
I want to simplify your example and calculate the equity only against one opponent for you to get a feel of it. Rest is up to you...
Here is how I do it at the table if needed:
First you have...
I'd raise the flop. If he also has a set money will get in no matter what. If he has a flush draw now is the time to get more money in. If he has some weak pair or air than there is no more value, he...
I usually play cash so i may be deadly wrong but here is my take...
H1: I'd like a push here.
H2: I fold this.
H3: I'd play the same.
H4: I'd like a push better pre but as played I'm...
H1: I like 1.40 here.
H2: 0.60 on the flop and if got called 1.50 on the turn (if checked to) I guess.
H3: I liked this as played but this is not a cbet spot.
Effective stacks will be ~5.80 by the river and the pot will be 15.40 (if UTG folds) or 20.40 (if UTG calls). I don't think I would be able to fold this if he fires again because I beleive he doesn't...
You feel like something is missing because you think that there must be a way to calculate the the effect of the opponents cards to the total equation. Actually there is. But it makes no difference....
Bad Co. is one of my favourites and this cover is really a good one.
Bet/fold seems to be the only way to play this turn imo. I'm also OK with the sizing.
Well, since he never raises pre, i beleive we can put over pairs in his range. I would raise and call a shove here.
I can't agree more...
As said above, shove... If he has the nuts you still have more then 20% of equity.
@deucesomething btw, there are 1326 possible hand combinations not 2652...
Some must see movies that comes to mind...
Man From Earth
Das Boot
Boy A
Bin-Jip
1. We hold 22 on K82. Villain's range is {AK-KT, KK+, 88, 22}.
- AK, KT+, KK+, 88, 22 => 12(AK) + 12(KT) + 12(KJ) + 12(KQ) + 3(KK) + 6(AA) + 3(88) + 0(22) = 60
2. We hold AK on QT4. Villain's...
I don't have any problem with flop sizing but turn must have been bigger I think. I beleive this is close because you have the Ac and that decreases the number of FD combos in his range.
I...
YouTube - Zeitgeist-George Carlin on Religion
Edit: For more George Carlin on Religion and God
Actually when I look at your stats I see a guy who has 100K hands of 2NL. He must be doing something wrong...
The reason may be you like to flat 76o against UTG+1 opener because
Your stats...
If I have history with villain then I go with my reads but against unknowns I wouldn't be thrilled about 3betting small pocket pairs especially from blinds since we will be oop for the rest of the...
Yes.
But I think, playing for set value is not about stack sizes / bet sizes... Not everyone will hand you all their stack when you hit the set. I would aim for 15x like celtic said and choose my...