100z value bet sizing otr
PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com
Hero (Button) ($288.94)
SB ($339.04)
BB ($197.20)
UTG ($103.21)
MP ($163.15)
CO ($103.18)
Preflop: Hero is Button with J:heart:, K:heart:
1 fold, MP raises to $2.87, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.87, 2 folds
Flop: ($7.24) 6:heart:, 4:spade:, 9:spade: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $4.62, MP calls $4.62
Turn: ($16.48) 2:heart: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $11.54, MP calls $11.54
River: ($39.56) J:diamond: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $18.89
not sure what frequency people arrive with the following holdings by the river but here is a range I think the pool can play this way, may be off somewhere:
QQ(6) KK(3) - - TT(6) A9s(3) K9s(2) Q9s(3) T9s (3) 98s(3) JTss, QJss, KJss
I assume almost no one should c/c pairs below 9x twice (though I have seen it)
of the possible holdings villain could bluff catch otr (ignoring previous street splitting), we lose to 9 and beat 23.
if we bet half pot, we are making it pretty thin as we are making a lot of assumptions about villains range - maybe a 1/3 size would be more appropriate?
curious to hear what you guys think