Do you think you could make $10k playing 25NL for a month?
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Do you think you could make $10k playing 25NL for a month?
No.
link to the 2p2 thread, cuz that's obv what this is about right?
thats impossible. maybe if you played like 200k hands.
i think he plated 60k hands in the first 2 days....Quote:
Originally Posted by will641
wouldnt be worth it even if i thought i could
The amount of money being thrown around at this sort of thing is just stunning.
$50750 to win $21300
I mean wtf
His progress:
http://dougkpolk.blogspot.com/
He seems to be on his way unless he gets a mental breakdown (which is very much possible)
wtf is that even possible? My h/hr is at 1.1k with a ~20 MT ratioQuote:
Originally Posted by givememyleg
he's 24 tabling full ring and played two ridiculously long sessions
http://img144.imageshack.us/img144/3...ughday2ad6.jpg
didn't paste it in thread cuz the image is HUGE, but that's after day 2.. rofl, so many hands
just glanced through thread and he's doomed imo.
He's running $800 above EV so i we believe pokerEV he should have been only $300 up in his ridic two epic sessions.
Obviously pokerEV isn't accurate but it's fair to say he's on a heater.
thats amazing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by EzDuzIt
Third day not so good
http://img91.imageshack.us/img91/8842/day3ys3.jpg
Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
wow he would be much better off not playing so many tables then. obv nobody should do this without playing 24 tables, but his winrate is garbage. his winrate should be at the very least 5ptbb. if its not that then he made a big mistake. 5ptbb is small beans too, but i guess its all right if 24 tabling.
Lol she replied to spenda!
http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/3372/hahako0.jpg
http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/3...be3393e257.jpg
i dont get it
ahahaha that was fun
and quite disturbing
but she did say my name!!
they banned my line right after she responded
I typed "it's ok baby, I'm just taking a piss"
guess the chat admin didnt like that too much :(
she keeps banning me, I did get one reply to my sarcastic questions though :P
Haha!!!! ^^ ^ what is the meaning of this???
who the hell is betsy and why were you watching her cam
Link was on 2+2, she's on the same website as WCGRider is doing his cast. She got spammed by all the 2+2ers about poker and ofcourse sexual stuff, etc. Pretty hilarious but I'm permabanned now
They also tried to match her up with Doug (the guy doing the bet) but she wouldn't have any of it
Does rakeback count?Quote:
Originally Posted by jackvance
If you're capable of this, there are so many higher profit games to play.
Yeah, that's what I'm thinking. These endurance prop bets have all the attraction of a David Blaine stunt, which is to say, not much.Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
but no one will pay you 57k if you pull it off?Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
This prop bet is sooo sick.
I think he might actually pull it off too.
I think they got the price right, last month Constanza was suppsoed to do 200 buyins at 200nl but got a really shitty price (his fault obv) and crapped out after like day 20 and up somewhere around 100 buyins
At this point, I think health and external events are his biggest risks.
rakeback doesnt count, its looking like a really close bet
costanzas bet was just bad. he wasn't an experienced 24-tabler. im very surprised he thought he could pull it off otherwise
if you guys aren't following the 2+2 thread this is some seriously hilarious shit going on
If he doesn't die or go insane, he'll do it.
that bodog prank call was beyond hilarious. shit cut out for me bout two thirds way through. heard the end's the best
the end is absolutely the best
link?
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ighlight=dsigs
the call link gave out on me twice, but im trying to get through it all. cannot remember laughing this hard as some of this.
uh uh hello is uh this uh uh uh uh uh bodog?
he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?
it's that it's really tough to play 24tables properly
I don't get how guys like nananooko or w/e do it a 6max, and 400nl+ at that.
GAME OVER
Also 24 tabling aint no thang ldo
He plays a good LAgg game too doesn't he? Which makes it even more insane.Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards thinkQuote:
Originally Posted by jackvance
nanonoko runs like 20/18 and still plays better than me with twice as many tables running. danny (isf) was 24 tabling at the beginning of the year. also i would say most the guys who do 24 table are ss'ing douche bags like AlphaFoil.Quote:
Originally Posted by Galapogos
Go for it. I, for one, would definitely want to see this attempted.Quote:
Originally Posted by wufwugy
its possible that i will do some kind of winrate prop at real small stake someday, but not in the near future.Quote:
Originally Posted by JinxT4
i wouldn't do it unless i was absolutely sure i could do it, and i was way more than rolled for the prop. id want at want a ton of action, probably around 100k at that point to make it worth it. it would be very stressful and id be probably have a minimum of number of hands played and that minimum would be more than i usually play. so id be playing a lot relative to what i already do, at much lower stakes.
i probably wont do something like that tho. the stress would be astronomical for me, and the only way id wanna do it is their was a ton of money on the line, which would in turn increase my stress. im already stressed when my wr is below 5ptbb.
lol at 10bb/100 minimum winrateQuote:
Originally Posted by wufwugy
Please tell me this is a joke/troll/level sort of reply...Quote:
Originally Posted by wufwugy
well 10bb is actually way easy, its 10ptbb thats the hard one, but eh terminology.Quote:
Originally Posted by martindcx1e
i would only try this if i had an expectation of like 50k for the same amount of hands at my normal stake. so yea 100k action isnt a joke.Quote:
Originally Posted by jackvance
and im not saying im gonna do this, and even if i do do it it'll be a while from now. im not even nearly rolled for this type of prop since i rarely play and spend all my money. im also unsure as to exactly how easy 25nl is because i haven't played it in a loooooong while
anyways my initial thoughts are that id wanna shoot for a winrate prop at 10nl.
he's doomed
hes not doomed. we dont know how he was running. but its not looking good.
uh he could possibly make 70+ buyins in the next 72 hours with the weekend fish at 25nl, which would get him right back on track.
You can't win this bet in the first week, but you could certainly lose it. He had a 60k BE stretch and is still trucking along, that proves more than anything to me how dedicated he is to doing this.
I give him a 30% chance of getting this done.
I give him a 15% chance
how can i bet on this?
you give me 6:1 on $100?
wow the plot thickens.
still don't think he's got more than a 10% chance of doing it because of the EV graph posted after his original heater which makes me think everyone is vastly over-estimating his winrate.
Pretty interesting for me on a personal note that someone winning at ~2-3ptBB/100 can have a 65k breakeven stretch
when i was a 2-3ptbb player i had 50k b/e alllllll the time.
i highly doubt he's running much different than expectation. that winrate is baffling though. ive a friend who has pretty much never played higher than 25nl because he's not confident in his game, he 24 tables for about 10k hands a day, and hes beating it for the same wr as WCG. i cant help but think he's doing something way wrong since his wr is so low. but eh mine would be worse if i 24 tabled. of course some other good 24 tablers would be much higher.
i meant 10BB (10ptbb). that's super hard over a respectable amount of hands (like 100k) imo.Quote:
Originally Posted by wufwugy
wgc rider is a 200nl/400nl reg on stars right?
100nl FR reg that was staked to play higher stakes and put a good month in at 5/10 IIRC.
why would a high stakes reg stake a 100nl reg? that just doesnt make sense.
I don't have the full story, I'm sure it's floating around in BBV
Anyways, he was at a few of my 100nl FR tables at the beginning of this month, but if you read his blog (http://dougkpolk.blogspot.com) during March he is showing some 5/10 6max HH's.
6:1 lolll why not 2:1? 30/15 = 2.. math is funQuote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
ummm, if you think the guy only has a 15% chance of doing it then you should be willing to lay 6.6:1 (or worse). Spenda thinks he has a 30% chance so he should be willing to take 3.3:1 (or better).Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
shhhhhh Zook he said 15%Quote:
Originally Posted by zook
I'd say 4/1 looks about right at the moment
{bump}
A couple of good days, then a bad one and an interesting rant on his blog.
4/1 is still about right I reckon.
wheres his blog?
dougkpolk.blogspot.com
haha nice one mcat
I lifted 10 bucks off of him today.
if i were one of those people in a pool with him, i would get on his tables and fuck with him, and get everyone else in the pool to come along for a splash.
actually, idk if i would do that, its pretty fucked up.
agree with mcat
If you read the thread he has set aside judges who will decide wether or not people are doing exactly this and if they are then the bets off or crap like that.Quote:
Originally Posted by will641
k i just read his blog and he said he went pro with a $3k bankroll and made $60k in3 months...WTF?
im pro with a 3k poker roll right now. played some 2/4 earlier
i was wishing him luck. Until I read his views on coffee. He no longer has my respect...
sounds good so far, and thenQuote:
Originally Posted by dougkpolk
he's gotta be taking the piss right????Quote:
Originally Posted by dougkpolk
I was more concerned with his:Quote:
Originally Posted by daven
But good call on his bad syrup coffee love :?Quote:
Because win or lose,
I am a grinder today,
and a legend forever.
i would get so depressed and have a nervous breakdown playing poker 12+ hours a day every day for a month 24 tabling. The pressure he must be feeling with that much money on the line not to mention the boredom must be unreal. I actually feel sorry for him imo no matter how much respect he gets from the poker community.
edit: just realised how much money hes made in the last few months even if he loses the bet = no longer feel sorry for him.
why? hes stands to lose like a 1/3rd of his bankroll on this bet?
spending 12/16 hours a day 24-tabling to lose 1/3rd of ur roll must be pretty fucking brutal
(didnt inc. the maount he wins trying to win bet / fpp)
:?:Quote:
Originally Posted by SaulPaul
hes made roughly 75k over the last few months, and the bet is for about 22k. roughly 1/3.Quote:
Originally Posted by martindcx1e
gamblin' man.
I like :)
That alone inflates his ballsaq well beyond what the ghey coffee'll ever shrink it :!:
I can't find him on PS anymore
It seems that he has given up. There is a big post about it in his blog.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ragnar4
ok so i don't want to read through all this thread and I definitely don't want to read through the whole 2+2 thread so can someone give me some cliff notes on his progress?
he quit
clif notes: young guy, takes a prop bet getting 2.5ish:1 on his money that he can make $10,000 (400 buyins) in 31 days at $25nl Full-Ring on PS or FTP. He put up like 22k to win 50k or something like that.
He starts hot, winning big first 2 days, well at least money-wise seeing how he played 53k hands in a 48 hour period. He then goes breakeven for like 70k hands before swinging up again, giving everyone who bet on him hope.
However, he continues to have breakeven and even losing days and 16 days in he only had made $3300, or about 1/3rd of the necessary money. He then posted today how he was quitting, saying there are better ways to make money. FWIW he had made 60k+ the last few months combined at higher levels.
Fucken quitter.
" Oh it's so hard" "Oh they are adjusting to me" "Oh the games are tougher during the day" These are the very reasons guys bet him, because these reasons makes it tough. Other than the $25NL guys adjusting.
what's gold about jyms post is his sig right below it. :lol:
he did make a mistake not playing night, but not too big.
lol at them adjusting to him. the results he was describing to illustrate that make more sense when analyzed as focus and fatigue. he wasn't getting adjusted to. if they even knew how to adjust to him they wouldn't be at 25nl.
he said he wasn't even sleeping for the first week. i could barely breakeven if i wasn't sleeping.
this is just going to make it easier for other guys to get action when they try these things. somebody who can actually do this needs to step up.