to add to this POE math i think ong and gator are unlikely wolves together
but i guess that doesnt matter too much since 1 wolf kill = we win. it does kinda matter though as far as wolf combos
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I'm might be inclined to think gabe is a villager now. The only reason I can think for gabe wolf to say I'm not a wolf with gator is if gabe is a wolf with gator. But that's not the case with gator's early vote. Village cred for lynching a wolf buddy is worth exactly fuck all in this game.
I'm not sure where gabe is coming from though. I'm not a wolf with gator, but I'm failing to see how he's figured this out.
Hoopy that fence isn't gonna take your fat ass much longer.
Any thoughts on actual people rather than mechanics?
no action. missing bawd already
lol i didnt realize rilla was in. let's get this over with so that there isnt much of a wolf thread to not read post-game
rilla
the wolves should bus a wolf therefore win the game for village therefore become honorary wufs
wtf where's mmm? last game was like the only time we weren't at each other's throats
in other news DA HOOPMAN IS BAAAAAAAAAACK. now's his chance to live up to his reputation by bolding a wolf correctly on his first try, getting him lynched, therefore killing four wolves in one bold
wuf, rilla's enthusiasm is what determines his alignment, not how late he joins the game. I have him as exactly null.
scratch that, im the new hoopman. since rilla is my first bold and he's a wolf for sure
wuf feels awkward.
I mean wuf is dicking about with lulz and a vote for someone who hasn't posted on what must be the most critical d1 in FTR ww history.
So are you voting for rilla because it's a random probability and thus +ev?
im voting for rilla because votes have to be made to make something of the day. it would be awful to get near eod and not have enough info to blow this thing wide open
Do you not think it would be better to vote someone who is wolfy, rather than someone who is exactly random probability? Or do you think rilla's late arrival is wolfy?
Bitch I'm curvy not fat!
I think SMF is a villager based on his white text shenanigans. A wolf wouldn't be so against the grain and deceptive in a way that gets attention. Particularly with the wolves having no margin for error.
You seem like a villager.
I want to know why aubrey is so sure gabe is villa.
I said it depends on my particular read of someone, and I don't want to divulge anymore than that. And that's on top of the fact that I found his post in which he explains why SMF is villager based on white text to be convincing. The logic was pro-village and the tone of the whole thing gave me a strong village soulread.
It's interesting to me that when pushed to make an assessment of someone rather than talk about game mechanics, you posted virtually zero original thought and parroted what Gabe said about SMF.
[QUOTE=aubreymcfate;2252365]I said it depends on my particular read of someone, and I don't want to divulge anymore than that. And that's on top of the fact that I found his post in which he explains why SMF is villager based on white text to be convincing. The logic was pro-village and the tone of the whole thing gave me a strong village soulread.
i'm rescinding this statement, reread make me realize i totally missed something crucial. so im no longer as sure about gabe, but i still feel pretty good about him being villager.
{Wufwugy BID Lilrascal Keith Gabe Ongbonga Rilla Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Lilrascal Keith Gabe Ongbonga Rilla= Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Gabe Ongbonga Rilla Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Ongbonga Rilla Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Rilla Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Hoopy Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Boog Supermonkeyface aubrey Gator}
{BID Keith Boog Supermonkeyface Gator}
{BID Keith Boog Supermonkeyface}
prob
people need to start bolding
Yup, agree with wuf. Time to get bolding.
lynch monkey
lynch keith
could also do: rilla hoopy gator
i realize keith is the most arbitrary of my lynches but he's the purest soulread of the bunch for me
I don't like this action from Ong. If the point of no revealing buddies is to spot the differing responses to wolf villager pairs. why now attempt to force through lynches.it looks opportunistic to me.Ongs argument also seems to want to concentrate on pairs where there could be wolf or villager and could result in the flip going in the villages or wolves favour. The easy way to lock a win for the village is if the known pairs give two other pairs that are villager/villager. Including our known villager partners to give 6 villagers ,wolves cannot win.
keith that doesn't even make any sense. I say why I think we should try not to out or partners, and then later vote for someone I have previously stated is someone I consider wolfy. What exactly is your problem with that chain of events? Why use phrases like "force through lynches" when I have literally started the wagon? What is forceful about a vote?
keith is trying a bit too hard here. I wish that was a wolf tell for him, sadly he always tries too hard.
I reckon rilla bingoed it.
I'm still lynching Gabe here.
Lynch Gabe
I'm reading ong as villagery for tone reasons
if this was a game of logic, keith rascal and bid would be wolves
the last thing my rilla bold is is wolfy. the first thing you guys are for not seeing why it's not wolfy is wolfy.
ive got all three of rilla bid rascal wolves at like 10%. pretty damn high for all three imo
Wuf getting all defensive up in heauh.
boog is pronounced booj in case you didnt know
I always pronounced boog as "bee-u-guh"
htf do you get beeuguh from booj
Lol
Why is it every time I see someone say the word "opportunistic", I feel people are being opportunistic?
Anyway, I've changed my mind.
lynch boog
It stems from me thinking you're a wolf.
Well if you want to know what I'm thinking, I get the distinct impression you're not trying to figure anything out. I don't once see you say about a comment "this looks villagery" or words to the effect. All you've done so far is point figures and mock. You thought gabe was a wolf after one post. Is that it? Your work for the day is done?
Not that I need to justify my vote. I can vote for you simply for pronouncing a g like a j if I want.
Yeah because you know how I need input from other wolves to cobble together an explanation for my read.
So, rather than being able to think for myself, I'm talking shit through with... who exactly? Noone has posted between my vote and my explanation. It's the quiet time. You're reaching here boog.
I can't say I'm unhappy with my vote.
Boog definitely looks wolfier than ever now, and I'm also less sure about wuf. Boog, your gabe lynch given everything that's developed since yesterday seems a forced attempt at "consistency in thought"
we need to collectively pile on someone to raise the heat and see what happens
things change. what's your point?
Gabe looks like a pressure point here. Pushed a bit and in come Ong (and now Aubrey) to defend. Still not hating this Gabe bold.
I'm not saying you shouldn't have lynched Gabe, but you did so seemingly based on your original comment on his first post.. given everything that developed you'd think you might have more to say if you're going to still lynch someone on an entirely new page of the thread. that's why i felt it was forced.
what changed is that the thing about my read of a particular person was me typing shit prematurely bc i made a huge error in something i read in the thread, sometimes i do things too fast and mess up, so that was my bad. I still think he's leaning village based on his other posts.
Also, this game is really, really difficult for wolves because it forces hard defending. Wolves can't get away with letting any wolves die so you just find out a cluster of wolves hard defending each other and there it is.
Wait, boog thinks wolves will hard defend each other, yet I put heat on gabe early on when others were saying he was wolfy.
What was that you said about consistency boog?
It's funny that you referenced that soft post so quickly as a point where you "put heat" on Gabe. Plant that post there for that purpose, Ong?
Lynch wuf
I have a villager read on Aubrey and I initially thought the two of them were a pair.. But Aubrey just posted a slight iffy read on wuf.. So therefore I don't have a reason to withhold this read anymore
I think ong is villagery on tone but because of last game I'm literally never hard clearing him again.
Aside from tone.. I'd lynch him.. I'm having trouble tying him to anyone else in this game and I think that's actually a problem.
Does boog actually think that if I'm a wolf with gabe, I'd throw my weight behind the early pressure he was getting? In this format that he himself acknowledges forces the wolves into hard defending one another? Of course he doesn't.
this is rilla's only post and i dont share many of the feelings in it. the two possible explanations are that rilla isnt paying attention or he's a wolf thinking this would fly. both are likely enough but knowing who his partner is (eventually) should make it clear what he is (lazy villager or failwolf). wuf being eliminated first is bizarre. i also appreciated how he didnt eliminate himself for a few lines
i know i vouched for him earlier but after this page i find myself rethinking it. he is getting caught in the same wolfy-looking illogical spots he got caught in last game, where we ultimately nailed him for it. the fact he is more active early in this game was the main reason he seemed village but that could be explained by other stuff