Oh? So Hoopy and I are wolves by ourselves?Quote:
Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
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Oh? So Hoopy and I are wolves by ourselves?Quote:
Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
Where's villager Rilla that wants to win this game?
You can't possibly believe this. Rilla doesn't sheep, ever.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
If he agrees with me then he got there on his own
Appeal to emotion.Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
I smell panic.
Fuck emotion. It's meta. Villager Rilla doesn't flip so quickly from gabe to me (exactly what I said would happen) with no new information.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luco
VOTE COUNT?
Gabe (2): Boog, Hoopy
Boog (2): Luco, Rilla
Rilla (1): BID
~69 hours left in the day
No further extensions will be granted
At least one wolf on my wagon. If not, game is lost with wolf wagon.
drew what the fuck are you doing voting for rilla.
monkey please don't vote for rilla.
drew should rescind so we can figure shit out here. There's two people now on two votes. We can eliminate possibilities but drew's vote on rilla looks so so bad right now to me.
Why is rilla so sure gabe is a villager?
This isn't about bussing. This is now about logicistics. Bear in mind that gabe has been on two votes now, I can only be a wolf with boog/hoopy. Or gabe/luco. They're the only two possible teams I can be in that couldn't just win right now. And I'm obviously not a wolf with gabe, I mean there's bussing and there's stupid hard bussing that loses the game. So the only viable team I can be on is boog/hoopy. And I've been on their case all game too. Only difference is that I've been pushing for gabe ahead of them, so I could at least accept that niugget of paranoia. But since wolves haven't won yet, we can eliminate certain teams.Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMonkeyFace
More time needs to pass with boog at two votes before any solid conclusions can be drawn.
lol logicisitcs
gabe's posture today has been that of a wolf desperate to find a mislynch, rather than that of a villager worried about wolves nailing him. That should be abundantly clear. boog/hoopy should be confirmed wolf from his pov, if indeed he's a villager.
I'm not gonna hold my vote back while rilla picks up a sloppy vote.
lynch gabe
rescindQuote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
why does it look so bad to you? Why are you so worried? Are you and rilla wolves?
If me and rilla are wolves we can already win ffs
I mean I guess we could be waiting for aubrey.
Ok we could be wolves waiting for aubrey.
But let's see how long gabe sits here on three votes with no action.
rilla votes looks bad drew because I think you and rilla are both villagers.
rescind
Y'never know if you catch a wolf train in action. Maybe one in a million chance...
Aw.
lynch gabe
Heh. That made me chuckle.
This is probably true.Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
Chuckle at this!Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
lynch boog
One more villager vote on me and that's game, folks.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
Why is drew a villager from your pov again?Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
<3Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
ong for mvp
UpdatedQuote:
Originally Posted by JKDS
BECAUSE BOOG KNOWS I'M A VILLAGER DURRRRRRR
It's 3-3,, not 2-2.
I so nearly ninja'd that then...
He wasn't until Rilla entered back into the picture. I'm 100% certain gabe is a wolf here. Rilla's vote for me after Luco's "gogogo Rilla" and bold for me (while saying he was 100% sure Luco and Gabe were wolves) with no additional information has me at > 87.5% Rilla/Rascal being wolf. Therefore, BID is likely village.Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
ninja'd?Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
editedQuote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
I notice that gabe still isn't voting for boog, even though boog is confirmed wolf from his pretend villager pov.
I noticed this too. The only thing tho is that they can't both be wolves because there would be a third wagon.Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga
I'm not so sure about that.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
I mean there nearly was a third wagon. Their votes are on standby.
Day 2 ends in what? 16 hours? EST people are going to sleep soon.
I think there's a 10% change that gabe and boog are both wolves.
VOTE COUNT
Gabe (3): Boog, Hoopy, Ong
Boog (3): Luco, Rilla, BID
~66 hrs left
#69 hours whenever JKDS last posted
Loads of time.
There. 66 hrs.
The fuck? lol nm
Don't anyone vote for five mins or so. I'm just crunching some numbers to see what we can poe it to based on the current vote count.
gabe/luco boog/hoopy rilla/rascal drew/monkey ong/aubrey
VOTE COUNT
Gabe (3): Boog, Hoopy, Ong
Boog (3): Luco, Rilla, BID
GL+BH - cannot win
GL+RR - cannot win
GL+DM - can win by lynching boog
GL+OA - can win by lynching boog
BH+RR - cannot win
BH+DM - cannot win
BH+OA - cannot win
RR+DM - can win by either lynch
RR+OA - can win by either lynch
DM+OA - can win by either lynch
These are the viable teams based on the current state of affairs. This is not taking anything into account other than the simple fact the wolves have not yet won. This also assume wolves have had enough time to synch, which might not be the case in boog's case.Quote:
GL+BH - cannot win
GL+RR - cannot win
BH+RR - cannot win
BH+DM - cannot win
BH+OA - cannot win
It's a guide, but one that gets stronger with time.
This is a very good eilimination. drew can only be a wolf with hoopy/boog, but drew was quick to throw shit at boog when boog took a swing for gabe. There was a vote too.Quote:
GL+DM - can win by lynching boog
Once monkey has posted, I think we can clear drew/monkey outright.
So if we lynch boog, the only wolf team that can win is gabe/luco/rilla/rascal?
This was a response to post 1092Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
I'd be sick to my stomach if ong turns out to be a wolf.
Also, considering my relentless assault on gabe, I think me and aubrey are now fairly in confirmed villager camp.
If I'm wolf with anyone else, I can win without any more effort, just waiting. And it's past 2am here, I could pretend to be in bed if I wanted to. No need for me to do anything.
If anyone thinks I'm wolf with gabe, then I'll have some of what you're smoking please.
Don't worry, you won't need a sick bucket near you.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
Ong villager tell: ong is condescending
This seems like the case.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
What % of keiths absence is role related? >0%?
Yeah I'm not giving that any thought at all, it's unproductive.
Fair enough.
lol honestly this is almost enough to make me flat-out believe BiD is a wolf with boog. this came right after rilla bolded boog, btw.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
I just carefully reread about 80% of this thread. Boog is wolfy as F. During the alleged crossclaim (which I believe is genuine), Boog seemed to be the one most aggressively (dare I say opportunistically?) taking the bait, even after gator revealed the truth. I've taken notes on specific posts by Boog that contain wolfy nuances, but I don't feel that's necessary to share at this point. The majority of us are members of the boog-is-wolfy choir, yeah? I'd divulge them on request though.
The wolves must be doing something somewhat fancy and counterintuitive -- this format demands it. However I keep trying to read the thread, especially the last few pages, with the assumption that boog and gabe are both wolves, and I find it difficult to believe. I don't see what they gain in barrelling each other down relentlessly. Right now, between Boog and Gabe, I think the best vote is Boog.
lynch boog
And that's game.
Aubrey, can I at least ask you to rescind your vote until Ong wakes up?
It's the middle of the night and luckily Rascal+Gabe are probably sleeping.
Please rescind and use up the time we have.
Omg I didn't mean nor want to do that :( I actually thought about that before doing it too but im retarded and forgot that 2 dead villagers means majority is lessened.
yes rescind boog
but i still think we should lynch him lol
Drew, the same applies for you. Without a rescind, we lose when Gabe+Rascal wake up. A middle of the night lynch is no good, especially when Ong is sleeping.
Thank you Aubrey.Quote:
Originally Posted by aubreymcfate
I'm going to sleep. I think we have >50 hours left to go though I'm sure the game will finish IRL today (EST). Let's discuss this then. Night.
Gabe where are you? Get out of your cheeba coma and come vote boog with me
6 for a majority.Quote:
Originally Posted by JKDS
Not voting - aubrey, gabe, SMF, rascal.
We're lucky that the wolves weren't able to finish it off when aubrey voted boog.
2 wolves sitting on BooG, they just need one villager mistake and it's over.
Notice how BID has consistently avoided voting for gabe in the clutch.
gabe/luco/BID/SMF all day along.
rescind
Where is your God now?!Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoopy
Also, if I'm a wolf with gabe, that means there are at least a cliple of villagers who are not voting for gabe 'in the clutch'. Has it occurred to you that maybe he doesn't appear wolfy to 100% of the village?
gabe went on a cheeba chew tangent when he bolded me then rescinded shortly thereafter. Other than that, I've agreed with just about everything he's said during these two gameday days.
But the reverse doesn't hold true, both gabe and I have been after bid/smf and I think we were the first people to call them out as wolvesQuote:
Originally Posted by Hoopy
Both bid and SMF are hard defending us now, but it isn't going to work as it's not a two way street. I think just straight attacking us would have been more +ev
How about you vote for them then?Quote:
Originally Posted by Luco
I'm sorry that I wasn't around yesterday. I worked late then went to my bowling league.
I haven't had a chance to catch up, but I'll do that this evening.
A villager vote on gabe would pretty much prove he's a wolf, btw. It'd be nice if SMF would pretend to care.
from my POV, BID is the clear vote here. wtf is this post...
look at his recent voting record. he can't be doing this as a villager. he's smarter than he lets on sometimesQuote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew
he is a better vote than boog because of the possibility of rilla/rascal/bid/smf. i dont think RR/BH is possible anymore after rilla votes boog. however BID can be on a team with rilla and vote for him because theres no risk
i know ong thinks RR/DM is not possible because they could have hammered me early d2 for the win when boog and hoopy both voted for me. this is true.. if smf was active. if he's not, it ends up looking very bad for rascal to stay on me, so he rescinded (this is what ong pointed out on page 10)
rilla has sounded good on tone since his return but i agree with boog that he has made some lazy posts like this one
on post #8 in the thread, i said we should wait until the end of day 1 to out. i only started arguing for it to happen once the thread was stagnant. i am sure discussion was stalling out because i was in the thread often and we couldnt get people posting. also ong saying we should wait until day 2 made me feel like i really needed to argue the point of outing day 1Quote:
Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
BID has been wolfy. it would be fishy to eliminate team RR. BID must be on the wolf team, whether with boog/hoopy or rilla/rascal. therefore we need to vote for BID
lynch BID
holla if you agree
holla
lynch gabe
Okay, I'm officially not keeping gabe in my village camp.
I'm now pleading with other villagers to help out here.
I'm 80%+ confident the wolves are gabe/luco/hoopy/boog
Just saying, if Hoopy and I were wolves with gabe, this is about the part where we start making up excuses to rescind.Quote:
Originally Posted by BankItDrew