Laying Down Top Two Pair on the Flop?
Hey Guys,
This hand has come into play for me alot the last week in live and online games;
In some situations I was the one with the top two pair and other situations was on the str & or flu draw. This weekend I went all in against top two pair at a live game and hit my flush on the turn (I also had an up and down straight draw as well). Two weeks earlier at my home game I got busted out with top two pair on the flop against an up & down straight draw that hit on the turn.
If you have top two pair and someone pushes (no raises pre flop so you assume there is not a set made) and there are two suited cards on the flop what should you do?
Correct me if I'm wrong but the chance of you winning is 65 % if against someone on a flush draw ? As the % of the person on the flush draw is 35% of hitting. Also you have 4 outs to improve your hand to the boat, which is 16.5% of one of them hitting right ?
So with these #’s what is the right play to do if you're certain (or as much as you can be) that he didn't hit a set and is more then likely on a draw?