Poor Players making poor decisions
are consistently taking my money. I mean consistently.
Incidentally, Molinero happens to be a friend of mine. Like him, I know how to bet big enough so that the pot odds don't justify a call for people with drawing hands. Like him, I am losing money consistently 'cause they call anyway. Consistently.
3 times today I had TPTK and bet the pot because two cards were suited. Three times I was called. Three times the flush made. A -$60 day so far...
So here's my thesis: I don't know about SNGs, but online ring games are about as beatable as the Texas State Lottery.
Re: Poor Players making poor decisions
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeFou
Incidentally, Molinero happens to be a friend of mine. Like him, I know how to bet big enough so that the pot odds don't justify a call for people with drawing hands. Like him, I am losing money consistently 'cause they call anyway. Consistently.
Yeah, I've been there man. I'm by no means an experienced pro who is qualified to give advice, but I've been where you are now. When I was first getting started it was really hard, because I didn't know whether a downswing was really just a downswing, or if it was a problem with my game.
You just gotta figure that if you are supposed to win 65 out of 100 times when you have TPTK against a flush draw, its still entirely possible to lose 10 times in a row. It doesn't feel good while its happening, but it makes sense. If that kind of a downswing is enough to wipe you out, then you gotta drop down to lower stakes.
Re: Poor Players making poor decisions
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeFou
Like him, I know how to bet big enough so that the pot odds don't justify a call for people with drawing hands. Like him, I am losing money consistently 'cause they call anyway. Consistently.
The thing is, dude, you want them to call against odds. That's how you make money in the long run.
If they're calling all the time, then raise the amount that you're betting. You want to bet as much as you can but still get some chasers calling you, when you have a great hand. Just be weary, if you think they're on a flush draw and that draw hits.
If they're calling way against odds, and you're able to lay down a decent hand that almost positively got out drawn when they bet big, you'll make money from the chasing in the long run for sure.