$2NL KJs OESD+FD vs Maniac

Villain is 47/19 over 73 hands at this point. Very aggro postflop (67 AFq). Hindsight tells me I shoulda just left the table with this dude on my left. CO is 54/0 fish. If I cbet this flop I expect to get raised with all sorts of rubbish by the BTN so the plan is to check/call... let him bet for me. Good/bad? What's the best line on the turn here?

WPN, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $1.54 (77 bb)
Hero (MP): $2 (100 bb)
CO: $1.65 (82.5 bb)
BTN: $1.66 (83 bb)
SB: $0.70 (35 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K:diamond: J:diamond:
Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, BTN calls $0.08, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.27) T:diamond: 7:heart: Q:heart: (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $0.13, Hero calls $0.13, CO folds

Turn: ($0.53) 2:diamond: (2 players)
Hero?

x/c turn.

When we hit our flush or straight, x/r river.
When we miss our flush or straight x/f river.

I suppose if he's full of shit we can call king rivers too.

Yeah, I just think if we lead or c/r the turn we're getting it in with a draw... a monster draw yes, but this idiot will call with A-high, which currently beats us. I like to play my draws aggressively but it's led to nothing but spew (lol fold equity), and if there's ever a time to play a draw passively, this is it.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by TNreg

Yeah, I just think if we lead or c/r the turn we're getting it in with a draw... a monster draw yes, but this idiot will call with A-high, which currently beats us. I like to play my draws aggressively but it's led to nothing but spew (lol fold equity), and if there's ever a time to play a draw passively, this is it.

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I actually have no idea if what I said is profitable though, you should really stove ranges and find out as if he's not continuing wide enough or if he will check back a lot on diamond cards or fold to our raises it's really -EV to not fold, but I assume that's not the case.

We're going to have over 50% equity against his entire range. Hell, even against a purely nutted range of like TT,77,QTs,Q7s,T7s,QTo,T7o, we still have ~30%. But it's ludicrous to to give him a range like that on the flop for obvious reasons. Just seems like we should be planning to get the money in on the turn if/when we spike the river.

BTN is probably weak on the flop. If he had a made hand I'd expect him to bet bigger on the flop because it is so drawy.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jackvance

BTN is probably weak on the flop. If he had a made hand I'd expect him to bet bigger on the flop because it is so drawy.

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this dude isn't thinking about pricing out a draw. you have a massive draw. and I doubt he folds even when ur flush hits. i'd call turn, and c/jam river when hit