Originally Posted by
Outlaw
I agree that villain is unlikely to be shoving with AA/KK and probably not doing so with QQ either. I am guessing he has 77-JJ, AJ+. Based on the information provided, I call TT+, AK here. I think folding here is a pretty big mistake without a strong read.
A couple of questions though.
What is your steal percentage? Or have you stolen a bunch of hands in a row on this table?
Has button lost a big pot recently or been caught in a bluff?
Depending on your answers, here is a conservative Pokerstove:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.089% 59.05% 01.04% 345774480 6109608.00 { JJ }
Hand 1: 39.911% 38.87% 01.04% 227614272 6109608.00 { QQ-88, AQs+, AQo+ }
The cool thing is, even against a much tighter shoving range you are doing alright.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.229% 41.86% 01.37% 176310408 5780460.00 { JJ }
Hand 1: 56.771% 55.40% 01.37% 233355456 5780460.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }