BB is 86/20 megawhale. Very passive postflop. Rarely folds to cbets. Goes to showdown a lot.
CO is 12/8 positionally unaware after 210 hands. Never seen him get out of line. 1.8AF and 100% fold to cbet so far.
SB is a little loose, pretty aggro and generally plays weirdly.
Whats our plan for the hand? My thoughts below.
Spoiler:
BB can obviously have a huge range here, including all 2 pairs and a lot of TPWK, FDs etc.
CO wanting to get involved makes me nervous. I can't imagine him doing this with worse than KQ, which I have blockers to and which I think he will usually fold preflop. I put his range at no worse than sets, AQ, very occasionally KQ or AcJc.
While we are probably marginally ahead of CO range at the moment (and way ahead of BB), I don't like my chances if much more money goes in.
Can we pot control OOP and re-evaluate if CO bets and BB calls? (Since betting will leave less than a PSB behind with only one caller)
I imagine he'd have some other club combos knowing BB will probably come along. Plus I'd have a hard time thinking he wouldn't raise flop with a set here. I think we're ahead here enough to keep betting.
04-04-2013, 11:40 PM
daviddem
If he is such a nit I can't imagine he doesn't raise a set otf.
b/f turn half pot imo
04-05-2013, 06:57 AM
Pascal
Raise flop bigger, I'd go €1.60 or so.
Then bet turn large. His range will be weighted towards clubs & queens over sets given the flat on the flop knowing he can expect at least a 3 way pot on the turn
04-05-2013, 08:45 AM
Pelion
For people saying b/f turn, what's our plan on the river when a club/A/blank comes both 3-way or HU vs nit?
04-05-2013, 09:06 AM
griffey24
B/f turn $3.30, prob c/f river on an ace or club. Most likely hands we beat right now are AQ and FD's, so ace or club sucks.
