[10NL] JJ B/F or C/F the river?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

SB: $11.20 (112 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $56.72 (567.2 bb)
UTG+2: $26.81 (268.1 bb)
MP1: $43.12 (431.2 bb)
Hero (MP2): $25.72 (257.2 bb)
MP3: $59.92 (599.2 bb)
CO: $23.63 (236.3 bb)
BTN: $26.74 (267.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J:spade: J:diamond:
2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.80, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.73) 8:diamond: 3:club: 5:club: (3 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50, MP1 folds

Turn: ($5.73) 3:diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $3.20, CO calls $3.20

River: ($12.13) 2:club: (2 players)
Hero bets $6.70, CO calls $6.70

Villain is a 26/2, 0 3bet over 120. Also, 26% fold to Cbet.

Okay so I figure villain has something like 33, 55, 88+, a whole stupid load of FD's, maybe some 67 sometimes, and some silly 8's and 5's. Against this range I have like roughly 48%.

So, do I B/F or C/F? I think C/C is out of the question as anything I beat would prolly check behind. B/F has its merits in that I can get value from like 99-TT, silly 8s and 5s. He folds most of his straight draws besides 64 which got there but I can't see him having that all that often.

I guess the real question is do you guys think his range is super weighted towards flushes?

Also how's the sizings?

i'm not a fan of sizing on every street

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bikes

i'm not a fan of sizing on every street

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Probably missing value?

against this particular villian i would make it

$1.1 pre
$2.5 flop
$6.2 turn
jam river

So looking through a lot of my hands I miss a shitload of value by not thinking about my sizing and who I`m playing.

bikes summed it up pretty perfectly.

monday - you understand WHY bike's suggested that, right?

And yes you do miss a ton of value if you never change bet sizes/focus on villain in hand. Your 5NL stats which were impressive would be A LOT better if you did.