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[2NL] JJ UTG+2
Villain is 36/27 23% 3bet over 84 hands
Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
CO: $3.75 (187.5 bb)
BTN: $2 (100 bb)
SB: $0.98 (49 bb)
BB: $2.42 (121 bb)
UTG+1: $2.49 (124.5 bb)
Hero (UTG+2): $5.25 (262.5 bb)
MP1: $2 (100 bb)
MP2: $1.75 (87.5 bb)
MP3: $2.83 (141.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with J:diamond: J:spade:
UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, 3 folds, CO raises to $0.20, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.80, CO raises to $1.50, Hero ??
So this might be a retarded hand to be asking about but is this a shove or fold? Is this too small a number of hands to be taking that 3bet stat too seriously?
I figure he's got TT+, maybe 99+, AKo/s, AQ-AJs? Against this range I'm flipping and have to shove... but I guess my question is: is his range wider or narrower than this? How much emphasis can we really put on the 3bet stat after 80 hands?
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Not a nice spot. I'm folding to the 5bet, though tbh I prob just call the 3bet. I don't think this sample size is big enough to have a true picture of his 3bet freq, but it's enough to know if he's retarded or not, so I guess I base my decision on that.
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must fold to 5-bet. At these stakes, this is going to be AA or KK with the occasional AK.
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i wouldnt 4b this deep. it's just going to bloat a pot which you have to play relatively deep and OOP (against a range you are unsure of) with heaps of boards which cause you to shit your pants. or villain will 5b us and we have to fold our equity when we could definitely have just called his 3b profitably. so don't 4b, and once you do, very very definitely fold to his 5b. he's not fucking about this deep and versus your EP open/4b range. i expect to see KK+ at widest.
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also, it's unlikely you sample is much of an indication regarding his 3b's. though the actual # of opportunities he's had to 3b is the determining factor - not the total hands.