Bottom Set on ver' ver' Wet board versus World and his Wife

Villain is VP 24, PF 15, 3Bet 0, Agg 1.2 over 70 hands W$SD 75

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($11.86)
Button ($5)
SB ($8.44)
Hero (BB) ($5.81)
UTG ($3.49)
MP ($3.04)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif
UTG bets $0.15, MP calls $0.15, CO calls $0.15, Button calls $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10

First off, i'm assuming i'm good to call here w/ 6.7:1 pot odds and a speculative hand?

Flop: ($0.77) 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif (5 players)
Hero checks,

Was uncertain here whether to lead out or check/raise

UTG checks, MP checks, CO checks, Button bets $0.44, Hero raises to $1.20, 3 folds, Button raises to $4.85 (All-In), Hero ???

Ranges:

Preflop: Given that he's got the BTN w/ 3.5:1 odds, can i put him anything narrower than AA-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,AKs-A2s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s?

QQ+ i'm unsure about. His 3Bet is 0%...

Flop: I reckon he's betting with JJ+,99,AJs,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,8s7s,7s6s,AJo,KTo+,QTo+,J To,AsKs,AsQs,AsTs,As8s,As7s,As6s,As4s,As3s,As2s

All-In: JJ+,99,AsKs,AsQs,AsTs,As8s,As7s,As6s,As4s,As3s,As2 s,KsQs,KsTs,QTs,JTs,8s7s,7s6s,QTo

Confused now. This is pretty aggro from him. I'm 63% against his sets and draws, but dead v 99 and JJ

Thoughts? Comments? General ridicule?

You should be leading out on this flop with this many, but as played what's the question? Are you actually thinking that folding is a valid option? If so, then <general ridicule>

You're only behind 6 of those combos right now (3 each of JJ and 99), if Villain has one of those, it's a cooler and you're basically drawing dead.
Since you have 5s, there is 1 less spade to draw for the flush.
You're basically a coin flip against QTss and T8ss (14 outs) @ 51:49 against.
Against KQss, Q8ss, and 87ss (11 outs) you're a 58:42 favorite.
Against any other pocket, you're at least a 2:1 favorite.
I.e. against any other flush or OESD (8 outs), you're a 68:32 favorite.

What d0zer said.

Not folding.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by OngBonga

Not folding.

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didn't

Quote:

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Originally Posted by d0zer

what's the question?

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@doze

q1 about leading u answered; thanks.

@doze + @3M

q2 is "am i forming those ranges correctly, or do i need to skew them because a loose/passive is betting like a crazy bitch muthaf@kka?"

your range should discount AK,QQ+ a bunch, and include more one & two gappers, both suited & unsuited. Also, this villain rly isn't "loose passive". 2x/1x is a pretty different player than a 30/3

pre is fine. leading>checking on this board because it's so wet and we are so OOP and multiway. as played call it off.

you need 34,8% equity when he shoves.
the tightest range i can give him for this line is 99/JJ/J9s/QTss/T8ss and vs this range we have 37% equity so it's always a call, even if he is a nit like me.

Thanks chaps