AKs ep, facing bb 3b

villain is a hungarian reg, 14-10-4, 6% 3b from both bu and bb. He usually plays 100bb, playing 80bb across 20 tables right now => maybe he's running thin on bankroll. 70% w$wsd, that type of player. He can 3b 99+ and AQs in this spot (history)
4b sizing? he sees me as 60% fold to 3b, 14% raise vs 3b.

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($44.25)
UTG+1 ($25)
daven (MP1) ($28.39)
MP2 ($27.01)
MP3 ($26.43)
CO ($22.45)
BTN ($26.91)
SB ($19.88)
BB ($21.24)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) daven is MP1 :ks: :as:
2 folds, daven raises to $0.85, 5 folds, BB raises to $2.55, how big?

seems like an iffy spot. how light is he realy going to be vs your EP open. I hardly think it'll be light enuf to stick it in blindly. I wouldn't mind calling here. Ur sooted. If he turns hand like AJ in a 3 bet bluffish type of hand then u could be in for winning big.
4 betting might have it's merits but keep in mind someone who 3 bets regulary in the BB isn't necessarily doing it light vs an EP open. It might be the kind of action he is hoping for if you 4 bet here. 3 bet stats aren't that reliable in the BB if they aren't super specific like ' 3bets BB vs MP open'. IF you got stats on that i guess it would make your life easier. calling can never be baddish if you play it ok postflop.

most important thing to me is you have a premium u got position and it's sooted which adds playability. It's not a snap 4 bet for me.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by TheLongGrind

3 bet stats aren't that reliable in the BB if they aren't super specific

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good point, villain is 13% 3b from bb vs steal = obviously his 3b bb vs ep is going to be less then 6%

I'm taking a flop with this hand because 4bing is turning our hand into a bluff, bluffing with AQo might be good but we need to know how much of his range he is folding obv.
On top of this we have a cheap call + position.

flattings cool, we have position and were soooted..we crush the AQ in his range etc.

I likes calling